During the 1st Gulf War Iraq launched Scud missiles against Israel in the hopes of drawing it into the war and thus pushing other Arab members of the coalition out. In OTL the Scud strikes were inaccurate and the missiles for the most part had a small payload, so the strikes were largely ineffectual.
WI the Iraqis are able to land a few lucky hits on Israel, perhaps on Haifa, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, etc.? Israel suffers extensive property damage and enough civilian casualties for the Israeli public to put pressure on their government to intervene. Wary of joining the coalition as a full member, Prime Minister Shamir instead launches a few tactical air strikes against Iraqi targets.
What would be the effect on the Gulf War? Would the Arab members drop out of the war, as was the widely-held fear at the time? How would the US react towards Israel, especially if the Israelis did not consult the US on the strikes? Would a change in the First Gulf War in any way change the current war in Iraq?
WI the Iraqis are able to land a few lucky hits on Israel, perhaps on Haifa, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, etc.? Israel suffers extensive property damage and enough civilian casualties for the Israeli public to put pressure on their government to intervene. Wary of joining the coalition as a full member, Prime Minister Shamir instead launches a few tactical air strikes against Iraqi targets.
What would be the effect on the Gulf War? Would the Arab members drop out of the war, as was the widely-held fear at the time? How would the US react towards Israel, especially if the Israelis did not consult the US on the strikes? Would a change in the First Gulf War in any way change the current war in Iraq?