Now having just finished my history A-Levels, in which one of the major topics was Ireland 1910-1922, I've been thinking a bit about what what I've been studying and AH.com. So I decided to ask AH.com: without the disruption of World War I what would happen in Ireland?
As a POD we will assume that Gavrilo Princep doesn't spot the Archduke's car in Sarajevo. That means that the Home Rule Crisis in Britain continues unaverted. What would happen now?
-Is compromise between the various sides possible?
-Would partition still occur?
-If so, would it be four, six or nine county?
-Could Ulster manage to gain permanent rather than temporary exclusion from Home Rule?
-Would Ulster end up using the guns they brought in from Germany?
-Would Britain be able to impose Home Rule on the north in the wake of the Curragh Mutiny?
-How would the Nationalists and the population of the south react to any difficulties with imposing Home Rule in the north?
-What would the effect be on British politics as a whole?