What would Iraq, Libya, and Syria have looked like during the Arab Spring had the Iraq War of 2003 never happened?
FTR, a possible PoD for this would be to have Al Gore win in 2000. Without getting multinational support for an Iraq invasion, I don't think that President Gore would invade Iraq--and I don't see him getting multinational support for this short of a severe crisis in Iraq (such as a new large-scale uprising against Saddam Hussein).