Iraq, Libya, and Syria during the Arab Spring w/o a 2003 Iraq War

What would Iraq, Libya, and Syria have looked like during the Arab Spring had the Iraq War of 2003 never happened?

FTR, a possible PoD for this would be to have Al Gore win in 2000. Without getting multinational support for an Iraq invasion, I don't think that President Gore would invade Iraq--and I don't see him getting multinational support for this short of a severe crisis in Iraq (such as a new large-scale uprising against Saddam Hussein).
 
For any protests Saddam is going be very brutal from the get-go. He already faced his own attempted Arab spring in 1991.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_uprisings_in_Iraq

So was Gheddafi but this didn't save him
The real question is : "How is the global economy in this TL?"
The events of the Arab Springs were mostly caused by the bad economy situation in north africa and middle east and for some reason i don't think that an Iraq still under Saddam would be different
 
So was Gheddafi but this didn't save him
There is a different between Raping and Torturing a few protester over the course of a few weeks and rolling out tanks on day 1 to try kill everyone in the crowd. Another thing given Algeria went through a civil war in the 1990s and didn't experience any large protests or another civil war. There a good chance Iraq won't due to the 1991 uprising,
 
There is a different between Raping and Torturing a few protester over the course of a few weeks and rolling out tanks on day 1 to try kill everyone in the crowd. Another thing given Algeria went through a civil war in the 1990s and didn't experience any large protests or another civil war. There a good chance Iraq won't due to the 1991 uprising,
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&sou...BMAF6BAgJEAU&usg=AOvVaw0DwL5k7alZfGE6pA7dJZIo

Gheddafi used tanks against protesters too.
Also there is the problem of the sanctions who were imposed against Saddam's regime from 1990 to 2003: without american intervention , these sanctions would have kept hurting Iraqi economy and by (alternative) 2016 iraqi economy would be in pieces
 
He was brutal but not brutal enough to scare the population into submission but just enough to piss them off .

The Hama massacres beg to differ. Hafez Al Assad was brutal.

As soon as Social Media sets in Saddam will face Civil War considering his behavikr and that is if he lives past 2010.
 
Also didn't the sunni arabs support saddam? Sunnis, make a considerable amount of the population. What ever shia sect Assad belonged to doesn't have that big of followers.
 
Also didn't the sunni arabs support saddam? Sunnis, make a considerable amount of the population. What ever shia sect Assad belonged to doesn't have that big of followers.
AFAIK, not all Sunni Arabs in Iraq did. There were some who supported him--from Saddam's tribe, etc--and some who were more ambivalent about him.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
The Hama massacres beg to differ. Hafez Al Assad was brutal.

As soon as Social Media sets in Saddam will face Civil War considering his behavikr and that is if he lives past 2010.
That's the point. Hafez had what it took to scare the population into submission. Basel also had what it took. Bashar was never supposed to be leader, he was never given the same grooming that Basel got. If Basel never died and was leader of Syria in 2011, the protests would have been crushed like Hama 1982. Assuming that no foreign powers used that as an excuse to intervene, the Arab Spring in Syria would have amounted to nothing - much like the Arab Spring in Bahrain.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
So, Bashar was perceived to be a coward and a weak leader?
Bashar vacillated to much. He didn't want to come down with an iron first in fear of provoking foreign intervention, but he wasn't willing to give up power too much. In the end, a dictatorship shouldn't bend to popular will unless it intends on dismantling itself - giving in to the crowd without giving up power entirely just makes the regime look weak.
 
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