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If the bullet had killed Reagan I suspect that Bush would have acted the same way over arming terorists with the help of America's deadly enemy/
I think Repbulcians would have done worse in the elections of 82 and 84 without Reagan's selling skill.
I think Daddy Bush would still have won in 84 but by much less
I picturea Dem landslide in mid terms 1986
When the scandal comes out Bush would find it harder than Reagan in otl to avoid responsibility.
Could Bush have been driven from office, even convicted by the senate after impeachment?