Independent Poland

What if, at the Congress of Vienna, the Coalition agreed to create an independent Polish state to serve as a buffer state between Austria, Prussia, and Russia? The Polish state would merely be the Duchy of Warsaw with 1815 borders and renamed Poland.
 
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Why they would do that? Meaning of Wien Congress was stop France rising again, not Russia. And all of these nations had notable Polish minorities. Any of them wouldn't want independent Poland. So this is very implausible if not ASB.

And even if there would be independence Poland on 1815, it would butterfly leastly WW1 away or it would be totally different.
 
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