alternatehistory.com

Let me sketch you out a scenario.

Germany on the Western Front is able to defeat France after about 5 years of brutal trench warfare which cripples both countries.

In the East, a Brest-Litovsk happens and we see an Independent Baltic, Poland and Ukraine. The boundaries of Poland are same as OTL except no territory gained from Germany or Austria-Hungry. The reds are victorious in the Russian Civil War/Revolution and there isn't a Belarus.

Now, assume for the sake of argument that the boundaries of Poland remain fixed like this for a long time, no analogue WWII, no major invasion from Germany or the Soviet Union, no access to the sea. Plenty of minorities in the country, plenty of Poles outside of it, little industry.

Now, what would happen to Poland? How would it develop? Quite frankly I've no idea.
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