Independence and Counterrevolution - East Prussia after the Treaty of Versailles

I am assuming as German young patriots go to East Prussia that sympathetic German Army officers will provide them with weapons. Is it possible that the German officers organize small vessels to smuggle weapons into East Prussia as a way to avoid the TOV restrictions on the Germany military?
 
I am assuming as German young patriots go to East Prussia that sympathetic German Army officers will provide them with weapons. Is it possible that the German officers organize small vessels to smuggle weapons into East Prussia as a way to avoid the TOV restrictions on the Germany military?

Yes. The Government would of course forbid any support, but most military officers are sympathetic to the East Prussians and the Government hasn't really established full controll over the "Reichswehr". Some organize the smuggle while others are "blind" to vanishing arms stockpiles. The German government is probably happy that the more crazy Freikorps travel away to East Prussia because they wouldn't cause more trouble in Germany itself. At this point there is probably a lot of chaos along the German-Polish border and the borders in the treaty of Versailles are probably not fully established yet. So smuggling is indeed possible.

Good God, Ludendorff is the Regent. Now they are bound to fuck up irreparably.
No comment.
I mean he is a respected general, and one of the victors of Tannenberg. What could go wrong???
 
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Are they not getting any trade by sea?

Regardless of official recognition there are traders who would make the trip - I'fd imagine food would demand quite a high price at the moment.
 
Are they not getting any trade by sea?

Regardless of official recognition there are traders who would make the trip - I'fd imagine food would demand quite a high price at the moment.

Probably.
As far as I know the economy of Eastern Europa was in a terrible condition after World War 1. Poland for example had some food shortages in the first years after independence. The situation in East Prussia probably isn't better.
I'm not an expert on smuggling and sea trade in the Baltic sea, but both would probably still occur even during the chaos in this timeline.
I guess, that nobody starts a sea blockade of East Prussia at this moment in the timeline.
 
I am wondering what the reaction of Sweden and Finland is. I know that Sweden is neutral but what happens in the Baltic has a big impact on them.

It is my understanding that German soldiers fought for the Whites in the Finnish Civil War. Is Finland thinking about support East Prussia so the Finns have allies and trading partners?

"World War I led to the collapse of the Russian Empire causing a power vacuum in Finland, and a subsequent struggle for dominance leading to militarisation and escalating crisis between the left-leaning labour movement and the conservatives. The Reds carried out an unsuccessful general offensive in February 1918, supplied with weapons by Soviet Russia. A counteroffensive by the Whites began in March, reinforced by the German Empire's military detachments in April. The decisive engagements were the Battles of Tampere and Vyborg (Finnish: Viipuri; Swedish: Viborg), won by the Whites, and the Battles of Helsinki and Lahti, won by German troops, leading to overall victory for the Whites and the German forces. Political violence became a part of this warfare. Around 12,500 Red prisoners of war died of malnutrition and disease in camps. About 39,000 people, of whom 36,000 were Finns, perished in the conflict."
 
Chapter IV
IV. After the Polish-Soviet war September 1920 – March 1921

After the sucsessful defense of Warsaw, Polish troops managed to advance deep into Soviet territory with French support. Pilsudski’s dream of a Eastern European Federation (to counter Russian and German influence) gained new strength. But the supporters of his rival Dmowski continued to remain powerful in the Sejm. They advocated for a strong Polish national state and urged to capture Danzig and strengthen the Polish access to the Sea instead of more military adventures in the East and far to many minorities inside Poland. An armistice ended the fighting and negotiations began. Pilsudski gained much prestige and a cult of personality formed after his successful campaigns.

Crown prince Wilhelm of Prussia was captured by Dutch policemen five kilometers away from House Doorn, the exile of the House Hohenzollern. Acting against the wishes from his father to wait until East Prussia stabilized, he lost much prestige, when photographs of him captured by Dutch policemen appeared in the newspapers. Of course nationalist Germans where outraged by the Dutch “mistreatment” of their crown prince.

Meanwhile Poland deployed more forces along the border to East Prussia. Von der Goltz and Ludendorff noticed this. Ludendorff ordered the total mobilization. Everyone should help defending East Prussia. But farmers resisted being pressured into the East Prussian Army, Lithuanian and Latvian passive resistance harmed much of the little remains of industry and production in the area. The economy collapsed entirely. Some idealistic volunteers from Germany already left, after becoming disillusioned by the bad supply situation. Ludendorff started a bizarre antisemitic propaganda campaign, blaming an international Jewish conspiracy and the Catholic Church for being behind the “Asiatic bolshevistic hordes”, which would destroy western civilization. While most other reactionaries people like Rüdiger von der Goltz where antisemitic, ready to shot at democratic protesters, and saw in the Lithuanians and Latvians not much more than colonial subjects, Ludendorffs increasing attacks at Christianity and some of his weirder conspiracy theories caused more and more irritations.
A small conspiracy formed among more moderate reactionaries and local politicians, who believed that a more moderate government could unite Danzig and Königsberg and regain some independence if they would submit to some Polish demands.

Poland finished its negotiations with the Soviets. The end result was a bad compromise between Pilsudski and Dmowski. Poland annexed large areas but also established small puppet governments in parts of Belarus (just Minsk and a small strip of land) and Ukraine (Kiev and a small region east of Galicia lead by Simon Petliura) which where far to small to become important partners in any “federation”, since they controlled not much more than their capitals. The Soviets had to retreat from Latvia and Estonia.

Ludendorff tried again to negotiate with Poland. Pilsudski demanded total capitulation within one week, which was unacceptable to Ludendorff. Polish forces where divided into three groups. In the West, a large army encircled Danzig and isolated the heavily defended city. In the middle, another army tried to occupy Masuria but failed to advance due to the Prussian resistance. The largest army used Vilnius to attack Kaunas and break East Prussian dominance in the Baltics. East Prussian dominance over Lithuania collapsed after few days.

Polish_cavalry_in_Biedrusko.jpg

Polish cavallery advancing into Lithaunia​

Duke Adolf Friedrich zu Mecklenburg recognized the catastrophic situation and tried to rescue his small domain. He tried to open secret contacts to Poland, to become a vassal. Wasn’t his duchy once in the past a Polish vassal? But one of his messengers betrayed him and contacted von der Goltz who ordered to execute the Duke. A large uprising in Northern Latvia threatened Prussian control over Riga. The Prussian puppet government over the area collapsed. The Estonian Government landed under the protection of British warships in Tallinn and reestablished their control over the country, and leased territory to Britain for a naval base at Saarema (Ösel).

Ludendorff realized the failure of his small “Kingdom”. He boarded a ship to Sweden. When this became public in the following day, moral collapsed. Ludendorffs prestige was totally ruined even among nationalists. Large parts of East Prussia descended into chaos. Crimes and Plunder where the sign of retreating Freikorps. Finally a city council took control over the city of Königsberg and surrendered to Poland. Danzig surrendered only after two weeks of siege.

Bundesarchiv_Bild_146-2005-0159%2C_Besetzung_der_Insel_Oesel%2C_Truppeneinschiffung.jpg

Freikorps abandoning Königsberg in March 1921​

Poland reorganized the Baltics according to her own interests. Lithuania became a puppet and had to accept the annexation of Vilnius by Poland. Since Latvia rejected a treaty which would severely restrict its owhn independence, Poland created another vassal in Courland. Both puppets had to accept economic and military integration into Poland. Danzig and Königsberg became “Free cities” under heavy polish influence and protection and had to accept a Polish military garrison. Masuren was annexed. Poland was now able to enforce the terms of the treaty of Versailles and go far beyond them.

Great Britain and France where unhappy with some of the Polish actions against the independent Baltic states, but accepted them, since it seemed at the moment, that only an independent and powerful Poland could restrict Soviet and German influence in Eastern Europe.

greatpoland.png

East Europe after 1921, Poland with the Puppets of Danzig, East Prussia, Lithuania, Courland, Belarus and Ukraine
 
As I said, any time when Ludendorff is more than a staffer, he is bound to fuck up spectacularly.
But their failure is the most likely result of my scenario regardless whom of these reactionaries is in power.
Kapp is also a character who has a tendency to fuck up if he has political influence or tries to gain power (see his coup). Reading several pages in von der Goltz book about his experiences in the Baltic ("Meine Sendung in Finnland und im Baltikum") forced me to mention some of his more toxic ideas (he critizised the new Weimar government for not shooting at protesters and mentioned that Lithuanian villages are similar to villages in Africa, therefore Germans are culturally superior) ...
 
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Well there was me hoping Prussia would remain actually independent and stabilise.

Still it’s not finished yet I hope.
 
The way that much of this has unfolded, @Zurirach Adankar , has really confused me given the actual situation on the ground at the time, and really it seems more like matters have been engineered in Poland's favor.

First, I can't see even Ludendorff avoiding an offensive into the Polish Corridor in favor of military adventures along the Baltic, as ultimately that is the route by which much of their manpower, their supplies, and their financing is going to come. Certainly there is the option of arriving over the water by way of Danzig or Konigsberg, but that route can rather easily be interdicted by Entente and Polish vessels hoping to contain the situation, and would be hard-pressed to do the same over a land route.

Second, the French were set to move into Memelland in February of 1920 in order to manage the mandate established there, and I hesitate to think that the Prussian Regency make any serious motion that might risk deeper involvement on the part of the French in the Baltic or in support of Poland (beyond their present level of involvement anyhow). This would have made communications and movement between East Prussia and those remaining German forces in the Baltic rather difficult if not impossible, and I can't see Goltz's fate being anything other than it was historically. That the British and French were willing to intervene militarily in Latvia in OTL also should give pause.

Third, any conflict outside of the traditional border of Prussia would have resulted in a war with the Russian Soviet, as Lenin and others had designs on the Baltic States that simply weren't compatible with those that envisioned a German Baltic. Already during the course of the Lithuanian and Latvian Wars of Liberation German forces had been fighting with the Soviets, and having them fight under the Prussian flag would only complicate matters further. Rather then largely ignoring East Prussia, the Soviets would be under immense pressure to maneuver their armies in such a way that Konigsberg and Danzig are part of their operational objectives so as to not be flanked when moving against Warsaw. The combination of German and Polish designs on Lithuania, especially after they have been made clear in the case of the latter, may well have thrown the Lithuanians into the Soviet camp with a formal alliance (as the French and British are loathe to move against Poland at this time). Adding Lithuanian forces on the side of the Soviets in the Soviet-Polish War may very well have complicated matters further still.

I'd argue that, ultimately, Prussia and Poland would agree to some sort of cease-fire once it becomes clear that all their efforts must be aimed against the Soviet incursion; they manage to turn the tide after some time, but Prussia is left merely with it's independence, whereas Poland ... I'm not rightly sure yet. I was going to say the Curzon Line and additionally parts of Eastern Galicia, but the Soviet proposals were apparently more generous still, even at the time of the advance on Warsaw. I'm trying to dig them up, but it might be that I simply don't have the resources at my disposal to find them (if they aren't in my traditional subscriptions or available books). Ignoring that, the Prussians and Poles might continue to stare daggers at one another especially with the Prussians occupying the Corridor, but both are exhausted from nearly seven or eight years of constant conflict, worried about the Soviets taking advantage of any opening a renewed conflict might bring, and the Entente now working to stabilize the situation.

In short, no one comes out content, except maybe the Lithuanians until the inevitable/planned Soviet coup de'tat.


Correction: I forget the timetables involved. Given that the declaration of independence happens in 1918 or early 1919, it is likely that it is the British that occupy Memelland as they'd already have forced in the Baltic set to do so, and they in turn may turn it over to the French when they are ready. In the same motion they may well have occupied Danzig to ensure that it remain a Free City and not allow the Prussian Revolt to be used as an excuse to annex it directly.
 
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Well thats depressing, the wiemer will have trouble now as it just allowed the poles to conquer germans defending themselves.
What are the choices of the German Government? Directly supporting East Prussia would probably cause more diplomatic problems with the Entente. Supporting them would be a clear violation of the ATL-treaty of Versailles.

The way that much of this has unfolded, @Zurirach Adankar , has really confused me given the actual situation on the ground at the time, and really it seems more like matters have been engineered in Poland's favor.
...

Interesting. You made various good points I need to reconsider, since I'm not an expert on the region.
I hope that my timeline isn't too confusing, if yes, please elaborate what confuses you.

My idea for this timeline is based on 1) reading that one of the Polish war goals at Versailles included an independent Königsberg/East Prussia and 2) the idea that a revolting East Prussia would be the ideal place for various more and/or less crazy reactionaries to try to implent their ideas for a short time, until their government fails since one of their much more powerful opponents finished a war with another opponent. More gains to Poland could encourage East Prussian politicians to implement the "Oststaat-plan" in direct rebellion towards the German Government.

First, I can't see even Ludendorff avoiding an offensive into the Polish Corridor in favor of military adventures along the Baltic, as ultimately that is the route by which much of their manpower, their supplies, and their financing is going to come. Certainly there is the option of arriving over the water by way of Danzig or Konigsberg, but that route can rather easily be interdicted by Entente and Polish vessels hoping to contain the situation, and would be hard-pressed to do the same over a land route.

If your goverment has the primary goal to remain free from Polish and Entente influence, but is also highly reactionary and could serve as a core of a counterrevolution, marching into the West would create unpredictable consequences including a highly likely civil war in Germany. Just taking the Corridor wouldn't improve the situation that much, since the German Goverment would now be forced to put far more effort in isolating East Prussia from supplies and volunteers, since a stronger East Prussia could try to be more direct in the goal of restoring the Monarchy.
I guess large parts of the East Prussian forces are from the Freikorps and Militias fighting in the Baltics, which have in their mind the interest of gaining control over the Baltics. Is Ludendorff in my timeline powerful enough to force them to go West? I guess he has to negotiate with various commanders and leaders who think that they should have a say in all these plans.
Is it in the interest of the Entente to immediately blockade any ships towards East Prussia, if East Prussia could stop further Soviet influence in the Baltic until Poland is strong enough to defeat East Prussia? I doubt that Poland alone is able to supress supply by water and land at that moment.

Second, the French were set to move into Memelland in February of 1920 in order to manage the mandate established there, and I hesitate to think that the Prussian Regency make any serious motion that might risk deeper involvement on the part of the French in the Baltic or in support of Poland (beyond their present level of involvement anyhow). This would have made communications and movement between East Prussia and those remaining German forces in the Baltic rather difficult if not impossible, and I can't see Goltz's fate being anything other than it was historically. That the British and French were willing to intervene militarily in Latvia in OTL also should give pause.

I probably need to do more research about the Memelland. But in my timeline East Prussia is already independent at the end of 1919 and claims control over the Memelland (of course in clear violation to ttl and otl Versailles), since their entire existence as an independent entity is in ttl already a clear violation of ttl Versailles. Probably I need to do more research how to prevent such a French intervention like in OTL. Of course if a french control over the Memelland would occur TTL would look entirely different.

Third, any conflict outside of the traditional border of Prussia would have resulted in a war with the Russian Soviet, as Lenin and others had designs on the Baltic States that simply weren't compatible with those that envisioned a German Baltic. Already during the course of the Lithuanian and Latvian Wars of Liberation German forces had been fighting with the Soviets, and having them fight under the Prussian flag would only complicate matters further. Rather then largely ignoring East Prussia, the Soviets would be under immense pressure to maneuver their armies in such a way that Konigsberg and Danzig are part of their operational objectives so as to not be flanked when moving against Warsaw. The combination of German and Polish designs on Lithuania, especially after they have been made clear in the case of the latter, may well have thrown the Lithuanians into the Soviet camp with a formal alliance (as the French and British are loathe to move against Poland at this time). Adding Lithuanian forces on the side of the Soviets in the Soviet-Polish War may very well have complicated matters further still.

I lack knowledge about early Soviets plans about the baltics, but it is certainly clear that their idea is different than the ideas of the Germans. In TTL there isn't peace between them, and various smaller fights between Soviets and Prussians occur in Northern Latvia. But the East Prussians in TTL decide to occupy Lithuania instead of attacking the Soviets, while the Soviets focus more on Poland.
Your arguments for a Lithuanian alliance with the Soviets are plausible in TTL at the point when East Prussian troops invade Lithuania. How would Lithuanian forces complicate the Polish-Soviet war?

Are the leading reactionaries in East Prussia and the leading nationalists in Poland ready to accept some formal ceasefire and cooperation? I guess accepting East Prussia as someone to negotiate with would in TTL weaken Polish claims of control over Danzig and Königsberg.

I don't know enough about military strategy, supply and flanking to comment and/or evaluate the necessity of the Soviets to attack Königsberg and Danzig to win against Poland.

I'd argue that, ultimately, Prussia and Poland would agree to some sort of cease-fire once it becomes clear that all their efforts must be aimed against the Soviet incursion; they manage to turn the tide after some time, but Prussia is left merely with it's independence, whereas Poland ... I'm not rightly sure yet. I was going to say the Curzon Line and additionally parts of Eastern Galicia, but the Soviet proposals were apparently more generous still, even at the time of the advance on Warsaw. I'm trying to dig them up, but it might be that I simply don't have the resources at my disposal to find them (if they aren't in my traditional subscriptions or available books). Ignoring that, the Prussians and Poles might continue to stare daggers at one another especially with the Prussians occupying the Corridor, but both are exhausted from nearly seven or eight years of constant conflict, worried about the Soviets taking advantage of any opening a renewed conflict might bring, and the Entente now working to stabilize the situation.

That sounds like a plausible scenario, if you manage to get sucsessful negotiations between East Prussia and Poland.
 
My idea for this timeline is based on 1) reading that one of the Polish war goals at Versailles included an independent Königsberg/East Prussia and 2) the idea that a revolting East Prussia would be the ideal place for various more and/or less crazy reactionaries to try to implent their ideas for a short time, until their government fails since one of their much more powerful opponents finished a war with another opponent. More gains to Poland could encourage East Prussian politicians to implement the "Oststaat-plan" in direct rebellion towards the German Government.
If the former is what you were aiming for, a stronger Poland that is indeed able to reduce East Prussia to a vassal-state, then that would explain the follow-thru.

If your goverment has the primary goal to remain free from Polish and Entente influence, but is also highly reactionary and could serve as a core of a counterrevolution, marching into the West would create unpredictable consequences including a highly likely civil war in Germany. Just taking the Corridor wouldn't improve the situation that much, since the German Goverment would now be forced to put far more effort in isolating East Prussia from supplies and volunteers, since a stronger East Prussia could try to be more direct in the goal of restoring the Monarchy.
The problem is that the German government in this case can't really do much to oppose the Freikorps, especially if the Reichswehr are involved as any "blockade" would be chock full of holes through which supplies and manpower could get through. The French and British would be annoyed, but they aren't willing to deploy the necessary manpower to truly cut off East Prussia from Germany by land. I'm also fairly certain that Berlin would, all and all, be glad that the Freikorps and their many sympathizers in Germany will have left for the East, as it allows some for semblance of stabilization in Germany proper (temporarily) while also collecting the most dangerous formations of the Right in one location (versus spread across the whole of Germany); they'd have time aplenty now, whilst the Freikorps are fighting the Soviets, Poles amongst others, to prepare for that eventuality where the Freikorps might turn their guns towards Berlin.

I guess large parts of the East Prussian forces are from the Freikorps and Militias fighting in the Baltics, which have in their mind the interest of gaining control over the Baltics. Is Ludendorff in my timeline powerful enough to force them to go West? I guess he has to negotiate with various commanders and leaders who think that they should have a say in all these plans.
It may have gone worse with the Prussian situation thrown into the mix, as a sizable number of the Freikorps that made their way to Latvia would have instead gone to Prussia to fight the Poles, under similar pretenses of land grants and "drag nach osten", to reclaim rightfully Germany territory. Weakened in Latvia, the Latvians and Estonians may have overrun the Germans earlier, though I'm not sure how much of a difference it would have really made. They may not have had the confidence to take down the first Latvian government, or they may have lost the race to Riga to the Estonians ... ultimately I would see the Germans as being in a worse position in the region, with what number of Freikorps that had gone there being evicted in short order once Latvia is deemed reasonably secure by the British and Latvians.

Luddendorff does not necessarily need to order them to do so; as I mentioned above, the very same reasons why the Freikorps went to Latvia would apply to any conflict between Prussia and Poland, and moreso it would additionally revolve around an idea of redeeming lands unjustly lost, they would operate from ethnically friendly areas, and logistics and finance would be less of an issue (though still an issue). There is just less risk involved for a similar reward.

Is it in the interest of the Entente to immediately blockade any ships towards East Prussia, if East Prussia could stop further Soviet influence in the Baltic until Poland is strong enough to defeat East Prussia? I doubt that Poland alone is able to supress supply by water and land at that moment.
The British at the very least were already operating in the Baltic, and the moment hostilities are opened between Poland and Prussia there is going to be serious concern over whether the Polish Republic would be able to withstand offensive actions by both them and the Soviets; any movement on the part of the Prussians to forcibly integrate the Baltic States would also be viewed unfavorably and an expansion of German power (after all, many would view Prussia simply as an appendage of the recently defeated German Empire). Basically, for quite some time Prussian influence would be seen as just as bad as Soviet influence, especially if they act as characterized.

Now again, besides a blockade I think the extent of it would be an occupation by the British (and then later the French) of both Memelland and Danzig, as those areas were designated to become mandate territories under the League of Nations anyhow, and it would reduce the number of potential ports smugglers could make use of. In the case of Memelland it would deter further Prussian expansion North, and in the case of Danzig it would complicate logistics between Prussia and Germany (at least somewhat); the combination of both could in turn then be used as a bargaining chip in any negotiations between Prussia and the Entente/Poland.

I probably need to do more research about the Memelland. But in my timeline East Prussia is already independent at the end of 1919 and claims control over the Memelland (of course in clear violation to ttl and otl Versailles), since their entire existence as an independent entity is in ttl already a clear violation of ttl Versailles. Probably I need to do more research how to prevent such a French intervention like in OTL. Of course if a french control over the Memelland would occur TTL would look entirely different.
As I've said above, I believe that a Prussian declaration of independence would necessitate a swifter approach on the part of the Entente, and so the British who were readily active in the Baltic would probably seek to occupy Memelland and Danzig in short order. Prussia would not be in any position to protest, as even the reactionaries would be hesitant to provoke either the British or French into openly joining any conflict, but barring such an event, I can't see any significant intervention on the part of France of Britain with deployments already having been made in the Middle East and Russia, and the French occupying the Ruhr.

I lack knowledge about early Soviets plans about the baltics, but it is certainly clear that their idea is different than the ideas of the Germans. In TTL there isn't peace between them, and various smaller fights between Soviets and Prussians occur in Northern Latvia. But the East Prussians in TTL decide to occupy Lithuania instead of attacking the Soviets, while the Soviets focus more on Poland.
Your arguments for a Lithuanian alliance with the Soviets are plausible in TTL at the point when East Prussian troops invade Lithuania. How would Lithuanian forces complicate the Polish-Soviet war?
Well historically it was a combination of Germans, Lithuanians and Poles that held the Soviets back. The problem here is that the Lithuanians trusted neither given that Germans had already tried to incorporate them and the Poles were trying to resurrect the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth as a Federal Union (or to subjugate Lithuania to Polish domination as Lithuania saw it). There came a time where the Soviets, turning their attention upon the Poles, were willing to recognize all of Lithuania's territorial claims in return for the signing of a military alliance against Poland; Lithuania hesitated only because it feared that doing so would jeopardize its chances at being recognized as an independent State in Paris by the Entente. Instead though they agreed to peace and gave the Soviets unlimited military access through Lithuanian territory, which more or less destroyed relations between Kaunus and Warsaw.

Now in the case as you've presented, you've made the German forces in Lithuania enemies of Lithuania, which means they are pressed on just about every one of their borders, and they'd be largely dependent on the Polish who aren't liable to have their support come cheap, territorial concessions being the least of Lithuania's concerns. Were the Soviet's to make the same offer, with the military situation so dire and the Entente not jumping in to rescue them anytime soon, and on top of the Poles attempting to coup the Lithuanian government, I can't see why they wouldn't take it given the alternatives. The Lithuanian military only was around (20,000) men or so at the time, which while not especially large in and of itself, would still make an impact.

Are the leading reactionaries in East Prussia and the leading nationalists in Poland ready to accept some formal ceasefire and cooperation? I guess accepting East Prussia as someone to negotiate with would in TTL weaken Polish claims of control over Danzig and Königsberg.
Neither side would be happy about it for sure, but the Polish will be struggling against the Soviets in the East following the collapse of the Kiev Offensive, and the Prussians will well be on the retreat once the Lithuanians are backed up by the Red Army; needing every man they can muster to deal with the Bolshevik threat, they simply cannot afford to have divisions deployed against one another with their other lines collapsing. It would ironically very much be like the alliance that existed between the Germans and Latvians or Germans and Lithuanians when those countries where fighting off the Soviets, one of necessity. There would be a full expectation of a return to fighting once the Soviets were dealt with.

I don't know enough about military strategy, supply and flanking to comment and/or evaluate the necessity of the Soviets to attack Königsberg and Danzig to win against Poland.
It doesn't make a lot of strategic sense to push deep into Poland exclusively, leaving the Prussians with the ability to punch behind your main line of attack; to do so would risk encircling your main armies at the front, or potentially complicate supply lines as the front line gets increasingly warped. To move against East Prussia in conjunction with Central Poland removes that risk, or at least seriously lessens it.

That sounds like a plausible scenario, if you manage to get sucsessful negotiations between East Prussia and Poland.
They could certainly come to blows again, but I figured that the willpower to keep fighting would be gone by that point, much as the two nations might hate one another.
 
Honestly I liked the start of this timeline, but I found the result something of a waste, yes it resulted in a Greater Poland, but this Greater Poland would suffer under the fact,that it have a bunch of pissed off subjected people, two big neighbours who will carve Poland the first chance they get. While if East Prussia had survived as a independent state under a Junker Junta, it would have removed destabilizing elements from Germany and have lessen German revanchism, enable Poland and Germany to improve their relationship.
 

Anchises

Banned
Honestly I liked the start of this timeline, but I found the result something of a waste, yes it resulted in a Greater Poland, but this Greater Poland would suffer under the fact,that it have a bunch of pissed off subjected people, two big neighbours who will carve Poland the first chance they get. While if East Prussia had survived as a independent state under a Junker Junta, it would have removed destabilizing elements from Germany and have lessen German revanchism, enable Poland and Germany to improve their relationship.

This. Without the intervention of an ASB Poland is ultimately even worse off than OTL.
 
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