In regards to 1. I will have to strongly disagree with Dr. Henry Abramson. To say they weren't spiritual reeks of monotheistic bias. They may have had different spiritual practices then various monotheistic faiths, but that doesn't make them any less spiritual.This is a very important point.
Dr. Henry Abramson mentioned the tension with Rome in one of his lectures. There were multiple reasons.
1) The Roman pantheon was more civic than spiritual. Not worshiping the gods was like not standing for the anthem.
2) Circumcision was viewed as barbaric.
3) Not working 7 days a week was viewed as lazy.
If we accept that logic no one has anything to discuss in AH because we have nothing to base any theory on. There are recuring patterns in nature that give some predictability to events, otherwise snowstorms would be as likely in Florida during August as heat waves. Elements would decay at unknowable rates, and space & time would bend randomly, so E = MC2 would be unprovable. There is the Theory of Recurrence Plots, that patterns tend to repeat, so over time there is some order in the Universe. With variations some events are more likely than others. That could give some order to human events, showing that there are trends in history rather than just random events. If all of history is only random then any AHTL is just a story no more plausible than any other, making absurd TL's as likely as any others.We can't know but to me it seems fairly obvious that chaos theory fully applies here, especially the longer we go, the fertilization argument alone makes it an extremely strong theory.
In an AH forum like this any such types of fatalism shouldn't even be a thing honestly.
These isn't make sense at all.If we accept that logic no one has anything to discuss in AH because we have nothing to base any theory on. There are recuring patterns in nature that give some predictability to events, otherwise snowstorms would be as likely in Florida during August as heat waves. Elements would decay at unknowable rates, and space & time would bend randomly, so E = MC2 would be unprovable. There is the Theory of Recurrence Plots, that patterns tend to repeat, so over time there is some order in the Universe. With variations some events are more likely than others. That could give some order to human events, showing that there are trends in history rather than just random events. If all of history is only random then any AHTL is just a story no more plausible than any other, making absurd TL's as likely as any others.
TrueNomad attacking China is pattern. But Temujin as Genghis Khan is going to exist in one tl OTL. If you argue that destruction of Rome STILL didn't affect Genghis Khan birth after more than thousand years of change. Then its not pattern, its forcing history to follow specific railroad.
Now, that's interesting.Depending on why there’s no Rome and what replaces it, as well as differences in the Jewish Diaspora, there could be a *lot* of Christianities. Imagine a bunch of Jewish communities in different areas each deciding on a different, local messiah over the centuries. Balkanized Christianity, only even moreso than OTL because they all have different founders.
A specific person being born, a specific religion arising is not even remotely a "recurring pattern" in history.If we accept that logic no one has anything to discuss in AH because we have nothing to base any theory on. There are recuring patterns in nature that give some predictability to events, otherwise snowstorms would be as likely in Florida during August as heat waves. Elements would decay at unknowable rates, and space & time would bend randomly, so E = MC2 would be unprovable. There is the Theory of Recurrence Plots, that patterns tend to repeat, so over time there is some order in the Universe. With variations some events are more likely than others. That could give some order to human events, showing that there are trends in history rather than just random events. If all of history is only random then any AHTL is just a story no more plausible than any other, making absurd TL's as likely as any others.
We can't prove that the sun will rise tomorrow but that doesn't mean that believing that the world is going to end tomorrow is an idea "just as valid" as not believing that.True
But if you assume everything is randomized after the POD(like say Tokugawa not being born in Japan because someone died at the same time in Argentina, thus different spermatozoid) you could argue the same for stuff like particles or quantum strings
Im not talking about anything impossible or that contradicts the laws of physics mind you, Tokugawa could not be born due to that - it is a possibility - but likewise a atom could be split in Russia or China, its also a possibility, thats what chaos is after all
But equally as valid is the idea of our world being like in Steins Gate for example where there are multiple possible timelines(not necessarily meaning that physically exist) and most of them tend to converge, meaning small alterations in the timeline hardly can change the path something is hearding towards(in the show this being demonstrated by the main character failing time and time again to save someone from death) unless a great point of divergence happens(in the show this being exemplified as avoiding the Gulf War)
In the end we dont know what lawset our universe uses, we know both causality and chaos theory play a role but everything else is supposition and statistics(which can be distorted to suit one's view), so I think in Alternate History where multiple different outcomes can play out we should have the liberty to discuss both scenarios that play out somewhat like OTL and ones that go nuts
Mongol tribes growing stronger, and becoming better organized is a pattern, or trend that can set the stage for a leader to unite them under a charismatic leader. We can call him Temujin for familiarities sake. The same can be said for the birth of Christianity, Islam, or other movements that the time was right for. A violent thunderstorm in California in the Summer of 1000 AD isn't likely to derail the Norman Conquest.These isn't make sense at all.
Butterfly isn't about random thing happening ignoring reality. Its about History not following fixed path.
Nomad attacking China is pattern. But Temujin as Genghis Khan is going to exist in one tl OTL. If you argue that destruction of Rome STILL didn't affect Genghis Khan birth after more than thousand years of change. Then its not pattern, its forcing history to follow specific railroad.
What would be your argument for why this is the case?The same can be said for the birth of Christianity, Islam, or other movements that the time was right for.
What would be your argument for why this is the case?
All you need for !Christianity is an occupying power that isn't willing to leave Judah alone to live their lives, and they'll be looking for a Messiah.
And if Alt Pontius Pilate decides to jail atl Jesus, or have an "accident" or exile him to alt Britain along with 20-30 other alt messiah's or discredit alt Jesus?The Israelites predate Rome, and Rome wasn't a power yet at the time of the Babylonian exile. In a world without them, the history of Judah looks similar for a long time.
All you need for !Christianity is an occupying power that isn't willing to leave Judah alone to live their lives, and they'll be looking for a Messiah.