Whoo thats a whollop of a title.
So basically in recent years and months I've noticed an upsurge in Vinland threads and the like, specifically one that do more than just posit whether the initial colony would fail or not which has pretty much been the staple for discussions about a Norse North America. Please for the sake of staying on track if you want to dismiss this thread or call it a wide stretch of the imaginations do keep in mind we've been hearing that on this board for years now and I think the recent threads have come to the conclusion that it was possible though not necessarily likely but perhaps even probable if certain conditions were met, I honestly think that sums up that whole argument that's been done to death, and also when people talk about being 'tired' of Vinland threads I imagine those derailing arguments are certainly a factor.
What I ask is that in this event a Norse colonization that was moderately successful with a slightly higher birthrate than in Europe along with a small steady stream of disfranchised independent farmers from Greenland and Iceland trickle in with perhaps a bit of making Thralls out of natives (or the half native bastard children made as a result of having said Thralls), lead to a Vinland that by (rough timeslot) 1180 populates most shores of the St. Lawrence Gulf and quite deep into the St. Lawrence valley just about would have happened, with maybe a peppering of small settlements on the northern part of the American east coast situated mostly on Islands and such. I think this is a fairly logical outcome of a 'better' Vinland that has some criteria met though I admit could be flawed.
What would be the Natural progression of such a state? Going forward would their existence being known on the other side of the Atlantic (I bet some Alt-Adam of Bremen figure would have a pretty significant impact more than otl with more knowledge) lead to earlier (Geographical not Racial) European involvement in the New World? Or would Norse North America being relatively sparse along with a lack of grandiose notions of the Spanish conquests to make European courts and Rulers interested in forking over the massive loads of cash to even fund an expedition when they expect to get nothing more than trees and uncivilized natives? Would the Norse Americans rely on foreign traders or would they have sailors of their own to sail to European markets?
How would their system of government start off as and change as the centuries go by? I admit I had an idea of a 17th century Oliver Cromwell-esque Vinlandic military dictator rapidly centralizing and modernizing the country a while back. How would the plains Natives be different with a concentration of the shaggy northern European Horse breeds in comparison to the breeds brought by the Spanish (I imagine after a handful of years when you have men wealthy enough you could see foreign stallions being shipped in every once in a while but I'd imagine the majority of the Horses' genepool would be from proto-Icelandic or Norwegian breeds.) Would this lead to a greater importance to Nomadic tribes in the Albert and Saskatchewan region of the plains? Would a longer time for the tribes to develop lead to Steppe empires and kingdoms?
How would the history of Meso-America play out? Would the Norse get there before Europeans and do they not attempt a conquest? Do they imitate the Spanish empire in it's conquest on the coastal New world as the Spanish did? In all honesty because of butterflies the Aztec and Inca might not even exist with whatever conqueror having to go through a Myriad of statelets. Would an earlier fur trade in the Hudson bay area lead to an identity of a Pomor-esque Métis in the region? Could the Northwest passage be discovered before the little ice age comes full effect?
Would a conquest of the Andes and the West coast of South America even be feasible without matchlocks, Crossbows, or Arquebusiers? Would a Norse Galleon-like trans-pacific trade with Asia be possible? How much could that change things?
How would disease really play out, that's one that I think a lot of people overlook or make assumptions on, after all they wouldn't be getting the full cocktail until later so I don't know what chance I could see for them to gain immunity from unless there was a significant amount of diseases from which ne could gain an immunity; but even then that would be hard as I imagine the only ones who would come into regular contact with said diseases would be natives engaged in trade with Norse and I don't know how well your average cold inducing virus can get around before herd immunity contains it.
What type of wars would a hypothetical American Norse country get into as the years go by from a geo-political sense? My impression is that they may like the Dutch but depending on how things turn out in Europe or the East Indies that could change, they would probably have positive relations with whoever controls Ireland. I do see them having strained tensions with whatever Iberian power comes about.
I think there's a lot of potential in a Vinland what-if scenario, and while a lot of these will require assumptions (which is why they don't stray too far from the initial founding) I still think it's interesting to ponder "where the ball will roll" as it were.
So basically in recent years and months I've noticed an upsurge in Vinland threads and the like, specifically one that do more than just posit whether the initial colony would fail or not which has pretty much been the staple for discussions about a Norse North America. Please for the sake of staying on track if you want to dismiss this thread or call it a wide stretch of the imaginations do keep in mind we've been hearing that on this board for years now and I think the recent threads have come to the conclusion that it was possible though not necessarily likely but perhaps even probable if certain conditions were met, I honestly think that sums up that whole argument that's been done to death, and also when people talk about being 'tired' of Vinland threads I imagine those derailing arguments are certainly a factor.
What I ask is that in this event a Norse colonization that was moderately successful with a slightly higher birthrate than in Europe along with a small steady stream of disfranchised independent farmers from Greenland and Iceland trickle in with perhaps a bit of making Thralls out of natives (or the half native bastard children made as a result of having said Thralls), lead to a Vinland that by (rough timeslot) 1180 populates most shores of the St. Lawrence Gulf and quite deep into the St. Lawrence valley just about would have happened, with maybe a peppering of small settlements on the northern part of the American east coast situated mostly on Islands and such. I think this is a fairly logical outcome of a 'better' Vinland that has some criteria met though I admit could be flawed.
What would be the Natural progression of such a state? Going forward would their existence being known on the other side of the Atlantic (I bet some Alt-Adam of Bremen figure would have a pretty significant impact more than otl with more knowledge) lead to earlier (Geographical not Racial) European involvement in the New World? Or would Norse North America being relatively sparse along with a lack of grandiose notions of the Spanish conquests to make European courts and Rulers interested in forking over the massive loads of cash to even fund an expedition when they expect to get nothing more than trees and uncivilized natives? Would the Norse Americans rely on foreign traders or would they have sailors of their own to sail to European markets?
How would their system of government start off as and change as the centuries go by? I admit I had an idea of a 17th century Oliver Cromwell-esque Vinlandic military dictator rapidly centralizing and modernizing the country a while back. How would the plains Natives be different with a concentration of the shaggy northern European Horse breeds in comparison to the breeds brought by the Spanish (I imagine after a handful of years when you have men wealthy enough you could see foreign stallions being shipped in every once in a while but I'd imagine the majority of the Horses' genepool would be from proto-Icelandic or Norwegian breeds.) Would this lead to a greater importance to Nomadic tribes in the Albert and Saskatchewan region of the plains? Would a longer time for the tribes to develop lead to Steppe empires and kingdoms?
How would the history of Meso-America play out? Would the Norse get there before Europeans and do they not attempt a conquest? Do they imitate the Spanish empire in it's conquest on the coastal New world as the Spanish did? In all honesty because of butterflies the Aztec and Inca might not even exist with whatever conqueror having to go through a Myriad of statelets. Would an earlier fur trade in the Hudson bay area lead to an identity of a Pomor-esque Métis in the region? Could the Northwest passage be discovered before the little ice age comes full effect?
Would a conquest of the Andes and the West coast of South America even be feasible without matchlocks, Crossbows, or Arquebusiers? Would a Norse Galleon-like trans-pacific trade with Asia be possible? How much could that change things?
How would disease really play out, that's one that I think a lot of people overlook or make assumptions on, after all they wouldn't be getting the full cocktail until later so I don't know what chance I could see for them to gain immunity from unless there was a significant amount of diseases from which ne could gain an immunity; but even then that would be hard as I imagine the only ones who would come into regular contact with said diseases would be natives engaged in trade with Norse and I don't know how well your average cold inducing virus can get around before herd immunity contains it.
What type of wars would a hypothetical American Norse country get into as the years go by from a geo-political sense? My impression is that they may like the Dutch but depending on how things turn out in Europe or the East Indies that could change, they would probably have positive relations with whoever controls Ireland. I do see them having strained tensions with whatever Iberian power comes about.
I think there's a lot of potential in a Vinland what-if scenario, and while a lot of these will require assumptions (which is why they don't stray too far from the initial founding) I still think it's interesting to ponder "where the ball will roll" as it were.