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So if the United States hadn't invaded Iraq (either due to a Gore presidency or just different decision makers within the Bush administration), how would the Middle East look different with Saddam Hussein still in charge? I know people always talk about Iraq as a counter-balance to Iran. Would Iran still attempt a nuclear program with a stronger (i.e. not occupied) Iraq on its western border? I assume this would butterfly the Arab spring. How else would the last 12 years have been different?