Impact of a stillborn Israel

[starman]

Well, this scenario assumes the Israelis lose due to bad luck, so to speak, to avoid any discussions regarding plausibility.

I suppose it would've been possible had the Israelis really banged their heads against the Arab Legion positions, losing much more than in the OTL, so Egyptian and other forces made more progress.

 

[BlondieBC]

The only really competent arab army was Jordan's Arab Legion. It performed well but due to its small size it was essentially limited to defensive actions notably at Latrun and in Jerusalem. I doubt it could've overrun Israel. In fact toward the end it was getting hard pressed and may have been saved by the bell.
But assuming Israel was eliminated, the most likely outcome would've been Palestine divided between Egyptian and Jordanian spheres of influence.

1948 War - Israeli down to last defensive line, out of reserves, and line was weakening. One hard push from falling. Change a battle a bit or diplomacy a bit, Israel does not exist except in the brief way White Russia existed.

1967 - Despite loss of air force (easy POD to fix, turn radar coverage to sea after civilian plane showed the hole), Egyptian Army holding despite lack of Air Cover. Then ill considered withdrawal order comes in as a mass retreat.

1973 - Egyptian Army shatters Israeli lines, then digs in. Syrian shatter Israeli lines then a division commander pauses long enough to allow Israelis to recover.

Invincible Israeli army was simply a myth.

 

[TimTurner]

Likely - you have Jordan ruling over much of the Holy Land. Most recent Zionist immigrants will be deported but the pre-existing Jewish population is largely left unmolested.
You have more Jews in the US (where Ben Gurion likely goes), Tunisia, Morocco, and some other places.

 

[starman]

1967 - Despite loss of air force (easy POD to fix, turn radar coverage to sea after civilian plane showed the hole),

I doubt it would've made a lot of difference if the EAF hadn't been demolished on the ground. Israeli Mirages were much better armed than most MIGs and, with more efficient ground crews, could be readied for new missions much faster than Egyptian jets.

Egyptian Army holding despite lack of Air Cover. Then ill considered withdrawal order comes in as a mass retreat.

The Egyptian Army certainly wasn't holding prior to the retreat order. By the 6th, its frontier positions had been overrun and the reserves, from the 4rth, were beaten at Laftan. In his Arabs at War Pollack wrote that the decision to retreat was justified and not the cause of defeat. It was just carried out poorly.

Syrian shatter Israeli lines then a division commander pauses long enough to allow Israelis to recover.

More than one division commander stopped prematurely. The Syrians probably could have overrun the whole Golan or at least reached the Jordan river crossings. But after their initial losses breaking through, I don't know if they had enough strength left to hold out against Israeli reserves, backed by superior airpower.

Invincible Israeli army was simply a myth.

I never said it was invincible, just very hard to beat.