Impact of a broken Nigeria

Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State

How successful would each part be

What would be their cold war alignments

What would be the impact
 

kernals12

Banned
Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State

How successful would each part be

What would be their cold war alignments

What would be the impact
Biafra is the one with all the oil and, without the rest of the country to support, is very wealthy. All 3 other nations are bankrupt but not having to deal with the Northern muslim insurgencies is a plus. And I have no idea how their cold war alignments would go. Here's the list of international supporters and opponents of Biafra's independence.
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One thing, what is this Benin? Benin already was a seperate country, in fact it was a seperate colony.
 

SwampTiger

Banned
Personally, I think the US failed by supporting the government in the Biafran revolt. You would see, as in OTL, a bloody rearrangement of power. The north may end up absorbed into a larger Niger if the colonial language differences can be worked out. The Yorubas may have to choose between the Biafran rebels or building another poor failed state in Africa. The post-Wilsonian idea that colonial political borders trump cultural/tribal borders failed badly throughout Africa.
 

kernals12

Banned
Personally, I think the US failed by supporting the government in the Biafran revolt. You would see, as in OTL, a bloody rearrangement of power. The north may end up absorbed into a larger Niger if the colonial language differences can be worked out. The Yorubas may have to choose between the Biafran rebels or building another poor failed state in Africa. The post-Wilsonian idea that colonial political borders trump cultural/tribal borders failed badly throughout Africa.
Seriously, what's up with that? How did the Americans wind up agreeing with the Soviets while disagreeing with the French on this?
 
Seriously, what's up with that? How did the Americans wind up agreeing with the Soviets while disagreeing with the French on this?
Soviets thought Nigeria as the most populated African state could be a vanguard for communism while the United States followed Britain's lead. France supported Biafra to gain access to its oil.

So in addition to having 3 Guineas (plus 1 more in Oceania) and 2 Congos, we could have 2 Benins?
Yes
 

kernals12

Banned
Soviets thought Nigeria as the most populated African state could be a vanguard for communism while the United States followed Britain's lead. France supported Biafra to gain access to its oil.


Yes
Ok, why did Britain want Biafra to stay?
 

kernals12

Banned
Under Nigeria , The area's oil supply was controlled by BP and Britain viewed a Government victory as most likely so backed it if Britain backed the losing side. The oil would go to French companies.
It's unsettling how much of Britain's foreign policy was driven by BP (both this and the Iran coup), sort of like the East India Company.
 
Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State

How successful would each part be

What would be their cold war alignments

What would be the impact
I kinda think Biafra would just annex Benin.
 
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