It would probably resemble the partition of India.Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State
Biafra is the one with all the oil and, without the rest of the country to support, is very wealthy. All 3 other nations are bankrupt but not having to deal with the Northern muslim insurgencies is a plus. And I have no idea how their cold war alignments would go. Here's the list of international supporters and opponents of Biafra's independence.Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State
How successful would each part be
What would be their cold war alignments
What would be the impact
Seriously, what's up with that? How did the Americans wind up agreeing with the Soviets while disagreeing with the French on this?Personally, I think the US failed by supporting the government in the Biafran revolt. You would see, as in OTL, a bloody rearrangement of power. The north may end up absorbed into a larger Niger if the colonial language differences can be worked out. The Yorubas may have to choose between the Biafran rebels or building another poor failed state in Africa. The post-Wilsonian idea that colonial political borders trump cultural/tribal borders failed badly throughout Africa.
This one https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Benin_(1967) which made sense given Benin was called Dahomey at the timeOne thing, what is this Benin? Benin already was a seperate country, in fact it was a seperate colony.
So in addition to having 3 Guineas (plus 1 more in Oceania) and 2 Congos, we could have 2 Benins?This one https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Benin_(1967) which made sense given Benin was called Dahomey at the time
Soviets thought Nigeria as the most populated African state could be a vanguard for communism while the United States followed Britain's lead. France supported Biafra to gain access to its oil.Seriously, what's up with that? How did the Americans wind up agreeing with the Soviets while disagreeing with the French on this?
YesSo in addition to having 3 Guineas (plus 1 more in Oceania) and 2 Congos, we could have 2 Benins?
So in addition to having 3 Guineas (plus 1 more in Oceania) and 2 Congos, we could have 2 Benins?
Ok, why did Britain want Biafra to stay?Soviets thought Nigeria as the most populated African state could be a vanguard for communism while the United States followed Britain's lead. France supported Biafra to gain access to its oil.
Yes
Under Nigeria , The area's oil supply was controlled by BP and Britain viewed a Government victory as most likely so backed it if Britain backed the losing side. The oil would go to French companies.Ok, why did Britain want Biafra to stay?
It's unsettling how much of Britain's foreign policy was driven by BP (both this and the Iran coup), sort of like the East India Company.Under Nigeria , The area's oil supply was controlled by BP and Britain viewed a Government victory as most likely so backed it if Britain backed the losing side. The oil would go to French companies.
There exists a different Benin, might be what he is refering to?One thing, what is this Benin? Benin already was a seperate country, in fact it was a seperate colony.
He already answered my questionThere exists a different Benin, might be what he is refering to?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingdom_of_Benin
I posted before i saw his post.He already answered my question
Did the Soviets see any indication of Nigeria being a potential hotbed of communism? Or was it just because of the big population?Soviets thought Nigeria as the most populated African state could be a vanguard for communism
The latterDid the Soviets see any indication of Nigeria being a potential hotbed of communism? Or was it just because of the big population?
I kinda think Biafra would just annex Benin.Say Nigeria Balkanised during the Nigerian civil war into Biafra, Yorubaland , republic of Benin and a rump northern State
How successful would each part be
What would be their cold war alignments
What would be the impact
Why? It would be a risky proposition with little payoff.I kinda think Biafra would just annex Benin.