If Upper and Lower Canada declare independence in the 1837 rebellion does Canada stay independent?

If circumstances had changed and the rebellions escalated to full blown revolution and declaration of independence, would a united Canada (upper and lower) have been able to remain an independent nation?

As in would Britain fight hard enough to not let them go and/or would the United States seize this as an opportunity to invade and take over?
 
The rebellions were not going to succeed on their own without American assistance. An independent Upper and Lower Canada might not last very long on their own though and may very well petition for annexation into the United States at a later date.
 
Most rejected the idea of republicanism pretty much outright, seeing it as treason to the Crown, King and Country, and to Canada.


The 1837 rebellions was tiny in terms of popular support, and failed to gain any support at all. Remember, when this happen, the War of 1812 and the American Invasion was still very fresh in Canadian minds and while Canadians wanted political reforms, they were still very anti-American. The 1837 rebellions were nothing more but speed bumps in the road to Confederation. (Try getting support for a Republic who survived a republican invasion 20 years ago.) Most Canadians simply won't accept the idea of Canadian republicanism.
 
If circumstances had changed and the rebellions escalated to full blown revolution and declaration of independence, would a united Canada (upper and lower) have been able to remain an independent nation?

As in would Britain fight hard enough to not let them go and/or would the United States seize this as an opportunity to invade and take over?

I don't think the rebellion would be able to succeed. There's no way Britain would have let them go without a fight, and Britain is much stronger, both absolutely and relative to Canada and the rest of the world, than it had been during the American Revolution. As for America itself, their regular armed forces were pretty tiny, and it would take at least a few years' build-up to get them into a fit state to try and conquer Canada, by which time the entire enterprise would probably have become moot, since Britain would have managed to quash the rebellion already.
 
If circumstances had changed and the rebellions escalated to full blown revolution and declaration of independence-
Yeah that's not happening. The Upper Canada Rebellion was dead on arrival and the Lower Canada Rebellion wasn't just locking horns with the Brits but the Catholic Church as well (meaning it was doomed as well).
 

raharris1973

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the Lower Canada Rebellion wasn't just locking horns with the Brits but the Catholic Church as well (meaning it was doomed as well).

This one was led by Papineau, right? So, a French name. But were the Lower Canada rebellion's supporters mainly Francophones or Anglophones?
 
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