I really have to disagree with most of the posters. NO, Lincoln did not "back down". Prince Albert gave his Government time to rethink their ultimatum and both sides found a resolution to the issue. The British leadership, like Wolsey, were convinced that they could not defend Canada and trading national pride and a war Britain could not afford with Russia pushing the boundaries of the treaty and France being an unreliable "ally" and the Austrians and Prussians moving towards war. Not to mention the heavy work of transferring India from the East Indies Company to Her Majesties Government while rebuilding the garrison after the Indian Mutiny. While the US returned the Confederate envoys and disavowed Wilkes, NO formal apology was offered and the blockade was never discussed. To oppose the American's right to blockade their own coast against an insurrection would be to place the British in opposition of the very strategy they had used against France for a hundred years and would later use against Germany in 1914.
Admiral Milne reported to the Admiralty on 27 June 1862, that the two bases, Halifax and Kingston were unprepared to operate as forward bases. Their fortifications were decayed and the guns and ammunition were unreliable. There was insufficient coal to support a larger force than he already had available. His existing forces (as of 27 June!) were inadequate to the task of protecting British commerce and possessions in the region. The idea that the RN, currently (Jan 62) in peacetime readiness after years of parsimony which ended with the French threat in 1859, could put an effective force off the North Atlantic coast of the US is delusional. LOGISTICS. Steam ships need coal. Hard coal. And warships need ammunition and replacements for their crews and a safe harbor for repairs and relief. None of which existed on 27 June 1862, almost six months AFTER the crisis was resolved.
The RN's tests were not conclusive (or realistic, being done on land against simulated arrangements of British ironclads and not using the correct ammunition) having been conducted after the war. The 15" gun was a Rodman, not a Dahlgren. US tests showed an XI" Dahgren with wrought iron shot would penetrate at 100 yards a 4" wrought iron plate backed by 24" of seasoned white oak. During the Civil War, the tactic of "wracking" actually performed as expected by breaking the bolts and rivets attaching the armor to its backing on the CSS Tennesee which had three two inch wrought iron plates bolted together and to 18-24" of oak. The guns involved were XI" Dahlgrens. As far as the XV" Dahlgren, at Trent's Reach, the gun punched a hole through a similar armor arrangement.
The penetration of armor plate is subject to several factors of which velocity, shape, weight (Mass) and density of the projectile comes into play.
VL = (K)(C)TtDd/[Ww COSa(Ob)]
where "K" was a constant and "C", if used, was a plate quality factor. Many formulae were for normal impact only or used a separate table/graph to handle oblique impact and had no COSa(Ob) term or sometimes C was combined with the COSa(Ob) term to give a C that varied with obliquity, also dropping the COSa(Ob) term. However, this format does not lend itself to separating the various terms for W, T, D, V, and Ob in an understandable way that explained why the exponents w, t, d, and a had the values that they had.
To fix this, the penetration formulae are usually given here in the re-arranged form of dimensionless, size-independent penetration in projectile diameters or "calibers" (T/D) on the left-hand side of the equal sign versus a function of all other factors (W, D, V, K, C, and Ob) on the right-hand side, since this makes the effects of each factor more obvious. Also, the units used here are English units of feet/second for V, inches for T and D, and pounds for W. By merely changing the Numerical Constant (= K-(1/t)) found at the beginning of the right-hand side of each formula to the proper value, these formulae can be used in their existing form for any units desired (usually using metric units of meters/second, centimeters, and kilograms).
Impact obliquity Ob is measured here in degrees such that a right-angles impact on the plate (along the "normal" line to the plate surface at that point) has a value of zero and a tangential impact that just skims the plate before glancing off has an obliquity near 90o. The angle is that of the projectile's direction of motion vector to the plate's normal line, not the direction that the projectile's nose itself is pointing, since the projectile will usually have some yaw (tilt in some sideways direction), though not much if the projectile and gun are designed properly. A yaw can be in any direction and can actually be corkscrewing around the direction of motion vector after a plate impact that wobbles a spinning projectile (most projectiles used spin stabilization, except for cannon balls (round shot) fired by early smooth-bore cannon or modern fin-stabilized super-high-velocity sabotted armor-piercing projectiles (APFSDS) used in post-WWII tank cannon). A small yaw (up to circa 10o) can be merged with the impact obliquity by assuming that it is a shift of the obliquity in the yaw direction by half of the magnitude of the yaw angle from the direction of motion vector. No matter how fixed the other factors are, firing ship motion, target motion, and target design will always make the obliquity of impact very unreliable in any scenario.
As long as the penetration process is slow compared to the speed of sound in the iron/steel armor and projectile (which is on the order of 16,000 feet/second), the entire kinetic energy of the projectile gets involved with the penetration from beginning to end. Kinetic energy has the formula
K.E. = (0.5)(W/g)V2
where "g" is the acceleration of gravity (32.2 feet/second/second) when using English pounds, but which is set to 1.00 (ignored) when using metric kilograms, since kilograms already have had this division done ("newtons," not kilograms, are the metric equivalent of English pounds). An alternative form of energy called "Work" is defined as
Work = FL = (W/g)AL
where "F" is the current force of resistance due to the plate's mass and metallurgical properties over a small thickness slice of length "L" and "A" is the deceleration (in feet/second/second in English units) that the projectile undergoes due to that force. Summing the values of Work for each individual slice L until the total plate thickness T is reached gives the total Work needed to punch through the plate, which will just equal the projectile's available kinetic energy when the projectile is striking the plate at its Navy Ballistic Limit at near normal obliquity (at high obliquity, the projectile is being deflected as well a decelerated and can switch from high-speed ricochet to high-speed penetration without ever slowing to a stop in the middle).
As mentioned above, if the factors of the penetration are changing rapidly, such as the fracture of the projectile and/or plate as the impact shock moves through them, then the value of W being used to calculate Work in a given length L may not be the total projectile weight and thus the predicted penetration as V, W, D, and Ob vary may not follow a "total-kinetic-energy" rule. In the penetration formulae this results in a smaller exponent for the W/D3 term than the value of one-half of the exponent for the velocity term, which is true for cases where total kinetic energy determines penetration (see below). For example, when dealing with shock-induced failure of the hard face of a face-hardened armor plate (Gruson, Compound, Harvey, and Krupp KC plates introduced in the 1860's to 1890's) the exponent of the weight term in my penetration formula is only 0.2, even though the exponent for the velocity term is 1.21 (6.05 times as large). The reason is that only the metal volume of the front end of the projectile is "informed" by the impact shock wave that the projectile has hit the plate before the plate's face layer caves in and thus only this front volume gets involved in the face penetration, where most of the energy is absorbed, with the rest of the projectile only involved in pushing through the soft back layer afterwards (without the soft back layer, the weight exponent would probably be near zero, once the projectile reached a minimum weight--always less than the weight of all real projectiles).
The projectiles assumed in these tests are usually between 1 and 3.5 calibers long (ignoring the projectile's windscreen, if any), made out of iron or steel, weigh from 0.148 (cannon balls) to 0.67 (most U.S. WWII naval APC projectiles) times the cube of their diameters (D in inches and W in pounds), have tapered noses that were usually, though not always, either pointed or elliptical in shape, and were consistent for the most part from round to round in their resistance to impact damage under a given set of conditions.
"W/D3" stays the same for a fixed projectile design of any D.
The above formula is designed for wrought iron plate and cast steel. It is from Nathan Okrun's website on armor and naval guns. The 68pdr with the 19lb charge and 72lb wrought iron shot is superior to the XIII" Dahlgren with a 65lb shot and 7lb charge, the IX" with the 90lb shot and 13lb charge and equal to the X" "Light" gun firing a 124lb shot with a 12.5lbs charge. The XI" with 166lb shot and 20lb charge has superior penetration, as did the X" "Heavy" gun with a 124lb shot and 18lb charge. These are all standard service charges. All the guns could be safely fired with larger gunpowder charges for a limited period of time. The 68pdr could use a 25lb charge, which made it better than all the Dahlgrens except the XIII" with the 276lb shot and 40lb charge. When the Dahlgrens are fired at maximum safe charge, which for the XI" Dahlgren was 30lbs, the 68pdr remained superior to the Dahlgrens smaller than XI" or the heavy X". The formula does not account for wood backing, but does apply to any cast iron or wrought iron backing for armor. Still, the formula does provide some comparable data points, and that is that the XI" Dahlgren using the 30lb charge will crack and penetrate the 4" wrought iron plate a 90 degrees to the horizontal. The 68pdr with "far" charge can penetrate 3.6". The X" "heavy" can penetrate 3.5", the XV" can penetrate 6.1" and the XIII" can penetrate 6.5". Again this is a vertical plate with out including any backing material. What these projectiles would do against wrought iron plate attached by wrought and cast iron rivets and bolts can only be speculated upon, though there are some historical examples both for and against. The main impact of "wracking", however, would be at the waterline. The way to sink a ship is to introduce water into her. Cracking the armor plate and mangling or separating the plates from their cast or wrought iron supports would do that. And since all calculations were at "point blank" range, 100 yards. Most USN projectiles will be hitting on or near the waterline. Now the 7" and 8" rifled muzzle loaders introduced to the RN from late 1864 were excellent performers, the 7" penetrating 7.1" and the 8" penetrating 9.1" based on the formula. It is possible that in a war with the US these guns would be introduced sooner given the failures of the Armstrong breech-loaders, yet the RN moved very quickly once the decision was made to replace the Armstrong rifles, so how much sooner is debatable. The 6.4"(100pdr) Parrot and the 8"(150pdr) were not in that class, penetrating 5.5" and 7.3" respectively, basically because of smaller powder charges. Even then, the USN and the Army eventually banned the use of shot from the Parrots because of explosive failures just beyond the reinforcing band. A slightly thicker and longer band would have been better like the Brooke rifles which performed quite well when their ammunition worked. Again, given a war with Britain, the USN could have adopted Brooke's rifles and Dahgren rifles as replacement for the Parrots. The 80lbs Dahlhgren gave trouble after some time in service, but the 150lb and 12" rifles were tested to destruction with supercharges without failure. The 12" rifle fired a 618lbs shot with a 35-55lb charge. Notice I only talk about point blank range. There was no fire control system beyond Eyeball Mk.I and years of experience using a particular gun from a particular ship. Certainly there were fixed and removable sights and pendulums and such, but engagement ranges did not open up much beyond 100 yards until the 1880s. The thought of any moving, rolling armored warship standing off at 800 yards and engaging a moving target with any possibility of a hit, especially a monitor's turret is very, very low. Against a larger opponent such as a steam frigate or ship of the line, longer ranges are possible, but really effective shell fire was probably limited to 500 yards, based on the example of the Battle of Lissa. I also didn't mention ramming. Certainly ships in close battle at this time would attempt to ram each other, even armored ships, hoping the momentum of the ship's speed and mass would collapse the hull even with armor plating. Both USS Monitor and CSS Virginia tried to ram each other, but the Monitor was not a "ram" and CSS Virginia was too unwieldy to get in a good hit. Certainly ramming had become the rage after CSS Virginia rammed USS Cumberland and left her ram in her. I also haven't discussed the US Army's coastal ordnance which in 1862 consisted primarily of 32pdr and 42pdr smoothbores, converted 64pdr and 84pdr rifles and 8" and 10" "Columbiads" firing shot and shell. By 1864, the older guns were replaced or augmented by shore batteries with Rodman guns, 10", 13" and 15", with much the same performance as the Dahlgrens of similar size. The interesting part of the US coastal defenses was the use of 10" and 13" mortars to drop shells onto ships transiting a closed waterway, like a harbor entrance. It would be difficult without some sort of tests to reference to determine the accuracy and impacts of such mortars, but the US Army remained confident in their capability into the 1920s.
As far as armor, Nathan Okrun once believed that laminated or multiple layers of armor were seriously less effective than a single plate which was the general belief of the time of armored warships. Recent research has caused him to reflect on that conclusion and consider how each plate of armor/metal resists impact and penetration. Each thickness slows and deforms the penetrating projectile such that impacts on the next plate are much reduced. Certainly the use of laminates in various modern (Cobham) type armor arrays depends on this metallurgical factor. The multiple 1" plates surrounding a monitor's turret were not equal to a single plate, but certainly not less effective than a plate 50% of the thickness. So 8" of laminate equals at least a 4" plate, more probably 5-6". The Confederate ironclad CSS Tennessee used three layers of two inch wrought iron, which are certainly better than a 3" plate, and given her resistance to the repeated hits by XI" Dahlgrens which damaged but did not penetrate her armor, it was certainly better than 4". Again the backing had an effect. The deeper the backing the more resistance to attack the plates demonstrated. Another factor was the size of the plates. The CSS Tennessee used 2" thick plates and 10" wide, which would be more vulnerable to damage than the HMS Warrior's plates especially with their tongue and grove construction. Another consideration is that most ironclad battery ships like HMS Warrior and USS New Ironsides used belts that covered only part of the hull, leaving the bows and sterns unarmored. While HMS Warrior had a 4.5" transverse bulkhead, the effect on her trim (already down by the bow) and her speed of severe disruption of the hull around the bow would be a major factor in a battle.
That's it for now. BTW, any intervention by the British would turn the Confederacy into a British dependency like Egypt or the Indian monarchies, where the British emissary really ruled. So much for independence.