If they will not meet us on the open sea (a Trent TL)

Saphroneth

Banned
Hmm. I thought it was nitrate farms that took a long time to get into production. If you can get your hands on soil with ready-made nitrates, you can just leach those out. There may be some somewhere in the Union, but finding and transporting them is probably a bit labor intensive.

My basic assumption is that if those were available in anything like the required quantities (tonnes of nitrate per day) then they'd have located them OTL and used them as a major source. Since my calculations assume all OTL sources are available except the DuPont purchase, it's factored in in large part.
 
There are probably some things that the Union can do ITL that they didn't OTL simply because it was cheaper to buy stuff abroad. Still, it would probably only make any kind of difference if there were protracted peace negotiations that fail and it's decided to fight until last man standing. Which would be stupid. And anyway, it looks to me that you were pretty generous with the Union's initial position, so you can afford to be a bit stingy later.
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Yes, if I were writing a really nasty Ameriscrew I could have got vicious - by which I mean, week three Royal Marines land and blow up the Eleutherian mills, week five landing is made in Connecticut, week six Springfield captured...
Actual aggressive action by the British Army in March rather than starting in May, that kind of thing. (I actually fudged it a bit at one point to make sure the Union made it to the end of June without crying uncle!)
 
27 August-12 September 1862

Saphroneth

Banned
27 August


The Vanderbilt takes a prize, this time effectively winning a jackpot - a British sail ship hauling coal to Alexandria. This vessel changes the plans of Vanderbilt's captain, and instead of making for Santorini he shapes his course for the small (and uninhabited) island of Despotiko, to fully coal up there and potentially use the collier (renamed the Centreville by her new commander after a coal town in eastern Pennsylvania) to fuel further raids.


28 August

Based on reports from the field, the decision is made to adopt the Terry and Westley-Richards for all British regular and militia cavalry. As such major orders are made for both weapons (about 25,000 each) subject to prompt delivery of installments.
In keeping with what is now standard British custom, the former cavalry carbines will be transferred to colonial use, with this resulting in an upgrade for Indian cavalry (among others). The switch to breech loading weapons also causes a rethink of standard cavalry doctrine, with one officer suggesting that the use of pack mules for spare ammunition should be considered on a per-troop basis (since a few minutes of firing with the Terry can consume large amounts of ammunition.)

1 September
HMS Hector is launched. Slower and cheaper than Warrior, she is nevertheless a rather better vessel than the Defence class and mounts two thirds the guns of Warrior (as opposed to less than one half as in Defence) in shore bombardment configuration; she also possesses the capability to switch to anti-armour configuration and mount more 68-lber guns at the expense of 110-lber guns. She also has a double bottom and good compartmentalization.
Hector is not an ideal ship - she is overweight by 300 tons, thus limiting her ability to carry coal and meaning some guns (and equipment) is to be left off - and in a sense she, like her sister and like some other ships still under construction, is a stop-gap until the completion of Minotaur (now halfway to being launched).

2 September
Vanderbilt successfully escapes from the attentions of HMS Iris, burning Welsh coal profligately to keep up full speed. Her captain aims for Heraklion until Iris is hull down and her smoke is invisible, then alters course to his actual base.


4 September
Complicated Senate and House election preparations take place in Kentucky. The Union elections are decried as illegitimate by the Confederates, who are busily setting up local elections, and the ballot paper situation can best be described as confusing.

5 September

About this date is when Reed invents the Breastwork Monitor. Already considered as the likely successor for Watts, he has been given the task of designing harbour defence vessels for Pearl Harbour which are capable of transitting the Pacific but still useful close in-shore.
The Breastwork design is his solution, and will become (after further refinement) the two ships of the Lava class - A'a and Pahoehoe, named by King Kamehameha on a visit to Britain. The basic concept is ingenious - the breastwork is essentially a superstructure, which raises the freeboard of the ships for transit without actually increasing the displacement by very much. (This superstructure does not extend to the provision of masts, so they are still required to travel in company with a collier to increase their operational range - a problem which Reed feels is worth the cost as these vessels will only ever make one long cruise.)
The most notable part of this design, however, is that the gun turrets are at either end of the superstructure - a feature which will make these ships the ultimate ancestors of all centreline armament battleships.

7 September

The crisis in Prussia escalates, with the Roon reforms formally rejected by the Landtag.
Wilhelm I feels himself unable to retain the confidence of the chamber, and informs his son that he is considering abdication. The Crown Prince (Frederick) is initially opposed, but at the same time he feels he may be able to resolve the deadlock - his discussions with his relative the Duke of Cambridge in Britain have given him some interesting ideas.
It is also clear that the deadlock is causing considerable stress to Wilhelm I.


9 September
While travel time means Bismarck is not up to date with the latest developments in the Prussian crisis, he can still see things are getting bad back home.
Meanwhile, in Havana, the main topic of discussion is the relative merits of uti possedis, status quo ante (and what that means for a civil war), popular sovereignty and cultural similarity as the basis for discussion for the peace treaties. Of note is that the British have dropped their claim to lower Michigan, and that the Union has admitted that retaining Indian Territory would be difficult even if the Confederacy is restricted solely to actively seceding states.


12 September
Abdication of Wilhelm I of Prussia in favour of his son. Frederick is to have a formal coronation later in the month, but his solution to the deadlock is already undergoing consideration in the Landtag - essentially, the conceit is that the fitter and more skilled Landwehr should be attached to individual formations of the regular army (for example, a brigade would consist of one regular regiment and multiple Landwehr regiments) with yearly refresher courses for the Landwehr on a seasonal rotation. The idea behind this is that this renders 'quick' offensive war difficult while permitting a general mobilization for defensive actions, and also ties together the regular army with the popular Landwehr - thus increasing regional loyalties and hence morale, while aiming for a commonality of skill. The staggered rotation of formations undergoing their yearly refresher course also means that the size of the army actually available to fight an invasion is generally undiminished, and that the mobilization pool is actually larger without requiring more time in the army for young men.
Artillery and regular cavalry are to be permanently maintained.

This solution pleases the Landtag as it effectively undercuts their greatest fear - that conservative elements in the army are planning on sidelining the liberal, broad-base Landwehr. The full manning of the artillery, generally the province of educated recruits, also provides for this.

Actual implementation is not so easy as the rosy picture presented by Frederick III, but the system is nevertheless generally considered workable.
 
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HMMMMMMMM - interesting development...

BTW Shouldn't the Vanderbilt get hints about the armistice by now... especially the captain of the collier should have know from papers...
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Is the Prussian thing as OTL?
GOD no. OTL Bismarck sorted it out without the abdication of Wilhelm I, and the army got their increased funding at the cost of the Landtag.

ED: this is why people who looked it up started screaming "WHAT HAVE YOU DONE" at me - Bismarck was about the only way to work that crisis through without someone resigning or abdicating.



BTW Shouldn't the Vanderbilt get hints about the armistice by now... especially the captain of the collier should have know from papers...
True, things should be coming to an end at some point soon. I'll admit I'm viewing the Vanderbilt's captain as being all "John Paul Jones" in his mind!
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Hm...

Wonder how Louisiana will shake out post-war TTL with regard to black Confederate militia - they had an opt out on the "whites only" clause of the militia act under the Union.
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Is there going to be a spin off TL - otherwise the whole Prussia thing seems a little off topic........
It's mission creep. After the peace I'm going to zoom out a bit and cover more general stuff, but this is turning into a whole treatment of an alternate late 19th (and possibly 20th) century.

It's also worth noting that the described treatment of the Landwehr is specifically based on the performance of the British Army in the Trent war - volunteer infantry is good especially as a stiffener for militia (i.e. Canadian/German militia) in times of war, for example.
 

Derek Pullem

Kicked
Donor
Well a liberal (North) Germany, a reactionary CSA and a revanchist USA is certainly different. Throw in a dash of competency in the British Army and a more secure Napoleonic France (no expansionist Germany) and it is indeed a brave new world.

Also wondering what no Hawaii will do for USA/CSA Pacific ambitions. Makes it more likely that any Panama canal will be British rather than American?
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Well, the British army being competent in this period is pretty much OTL, it's just that here they've had a confirmation that it works!

But yes, the world can end up rather different as a result of all this. (The Panama Canal might end up French!)
 
Rather than French, their attempt did not go well, a French/British project. Britain in particular would have a vested interest in having part control of the canal. Worked for the Suez.
 

Saphroneth

Banned
Can't wait to read about "The Panama Crisis" in the 1950's
That's a possibly unwarranted bit of parallelism. If nothing else, what made it a crisis rather than a quite short debt balancing war of the tenor of the Mexican intervention (as was planned by the people who weren't French) or the 1880s invasion of Egypt was the echoes of WW2.
 
If the CSA does not get a West Coast - once the rush for the Japanese and Chinese markets start - will probably the nation most interested in a canal - I somehow envision 2 canal projects (Panama AND Nicaragua) to be done TTL
 
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