unprincipled peter
Donor
If France loses the nap wars, Louisiana mostly likely reverts to Spain. a huge part of the Vienna principle was a reversion to prior borders, unless Britain wanted it or had an interest in distributing it equitably amongst the other major powers. I doubt Britain really wants the western half of the continent, and has no real need for New Orleans. It makes more sense to let Spain have it back and deal with the mess.
Too many people here are falling into the trap of simply transferring OTL events where a unified USA developed manifest destiny. Sure, pioneers are still going to migrate, but they are just as likely to simply live under the lax nature of Spanish rule, or make their own new country (which has issues because they don't have much by way of masses), as they are to declare themselves an extension of some far away coastal minor country (at one point there was a debate by kentuckians to ditch Virginia and join Spanish Louisiana). Manifest destiny wasn't just a declaration, it was a magical feeling that the US was something special that inhabitants of 'new' lands wanted to join. take away that magic, and you completely change the dynamics of the personality of the pioneers. OTL was a borg invasion: conquering and assimilating into the ever expanding land of USA. TTL doesn't hold that dynamic. migration, yes. assimilation into some magical growing ideal of a nation? probably not. You simply cannot destroy the entire premise of the unity of the USA and say the same thing would happen except in 3 different confederations.
Too many people here are falling into the trap of simply transferring OTL events where a unified USA developed manifest destiny. Sure, pioneers are still going to migrate, but they are just as likely to simply live under the lax nature of Spanish rule, or make their own new country (which has issues because they don't have much by way of masses), as they are to declare themselves an extension of some far away coastal minor country (at one point there was a debate by kentuckians to ditch Virginia and join Spanish Louisiana). Manifest destiny wasn't just a declaration, it was a magical feeling that the US was something special that inhabitants of 'new' lands wanted to join. take away that magic, and you completely change the dynamics of the personality of the pioneers. OTL was a borg invasion: conquering and assimilating into the ever expanding land of USA. TTL doesn't hold that dynamic. migration, yes. assimilation into some magical growing ideal of a nation? probably not. You simply cannot destroy the entire premise of the unity of the USA and say the same thing would happen except in 3 different confederations.