Cuāuhtemōc
Banned
Yeah. That sort of thing pretty much ensures that unless the crusading pattern changes, even if it continues the long run chances are poor.
I don't think the crusading pattern will change much in the long term so even if there's a major success in the Third Crusade and in the subsequent crusade, the conditions are already in place for the conquest of the Crusader states by whichever Muslim power is strong and organized enough at the right time to conquer them. I would give them until the early 1300s until they're in serious trouble again and that's being extremely optimistic. The Muslims aren't fond of Crusader states and the local Eastern Christians weren't so favorable of being looked upon as heretics by the Catholics.
On the armies, they're not horrible, but something like the Mameluke army that beat the Mongols at Ain Janut vs. a Crusader army would be an epic curbstomping...by the Muslims.
Is this on a basis of the Mamelukes having more men to throw at the Crusaders or better organizational skills?