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Let's make the PoD that Korea has some good luck, avoids the Tonghak rebellion or anything like it for several years, and through 1894-19895-1896 the Korean status quo of a Sino-Japanese condominium remains stable.

Meanwhile the incident of the Japanese ship getting harassed or exploded in Manila in 1896 is not butterflied away, and Japan uses this as a pretext to go to war against the Spanish Empire in the Pacific.

What will Japan try to gain from the war?

An indemnity?

Micronesia and an independent, allied Philippines?

A puppet Philippines?

A colonized Philippines and Micronesia?

And how will the European powers react, if at all?

Which one has most skin in *this* game?

Who steps up to be leader of this TL''s version of the "Triple Intervention"?

Is white solidarity on behalf of Spain a potent cause, or a low priority?
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