Let's make the PoD that Korea has some good luck, avoids the Tonghak rebellion or anything like it for several years, and through 1894-19895-1896 the Korean status quo of a Sino-Japanese condominium remains stable. Meanwhile the incident of the Japanese ship getting harassed or exploded in Manila in 1896 is not butterflied away, and Japan uses this as a pretext to go to war against the Spanish Empire in the Pacific. What will Japan try to gain from the war? An indemnity? Micronesia and an independent, allied Philippines? A puppet Philippines? A colonized Philippines and Micronesia? And how will the European powers react, if at all? Which one has most skin in *this* game? Who steps up to be leader of this TL''s version of the "Triple Intervention"? Is white solidarity on behalf of Spain a potent cause, or a low priority?