If Gore won in 2000 and Bin Laden was captured at Tora Bora, what would happen in 2004?

I don’t think party fatigue is cast in stone, it has just been part of the dynamics of the past 60 years. If Gore maintains a steady economy, he wins in 2004. If the crisis hits in 2008, he initiates a TARP program but his Republican successor is far less aggressive than Obama and there is barely recovery; more businesses fail. One GOP term and a Democratic sweep in 2012. On the other hand, the Dems will be up against some very lofty expectations that might make two-term presidents unlikely for several election cycles.

That would mean five out of six elections would have gone to the Democrats. Which honestly I just don't see happening without the creation of a New Deal-esque coalition of voters.

Remember even if Gore won in 2000 that election was close against the backdrop of a successful economy. The Republicans are much more in contention than the 1930s yet you actually have them doing worse than when they were the party of the Great Depression!

If a hypothetical Republican elected in 2008 has managed to bring even a slight recovery I don't see voters stampeding for the party that will still be blamed, fairly or unfairly for 2008.
 
If a hypothetical Republican elected in 2008 has managed to bring even a slight recovery I don't see voters stampeding for the party that will still be blamed, fairly or unfairly for 2008.
It took the TARP and the following stimulus to get out under Obama, a Democrat. Suppose GM and/or Chrysler do not get the loans they need. After all, Libertarian types say "let them fail." It would leave Ford as the last American car manufacturer. Of course, some foreign conglomerates would get into the liquidated auto plants. Look at what it would have done to the dealerships and UAW worker pensions.

Now look at blame. I remember the 2010 election. I remember billboards, one with a pre-school girl holding up her middle finger with the caption "Thank you Obama for this $13 trillion debt." We know the outcome of that election.
 
without the creation of a New Deal-esque coalition of voters.

It's worth bearing in mind that the Republican candidate has only won the popular vote once since 1988, and that was against the backdrop of incumbency in wartime.
 
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