If Franz Ferdinand survives in 1914, could a revolution in Austria-Hungary later on trigger WWI?

If Franz Ferdinand survived an assassination attempt at Sarajevo, the Austrians could still use it as a casus belli (ie blame it on the Serbs, etc), or if not, then another attempt is likely, with the same result, so perhaps his survival would make no difference?
 
I'm honestly unsure. However, if Russia was only interested in Orthodox Slavic areas, it would have had no desire to annex Galicia, correct?
They didn't have much interest honestly, they would take it if it was convenient but that's about it
 
I'm honestly unsure. However, if Russia was only interested in Orthodox Slavic areas, it would have had no desire to annex Galicia, correct?


Iirc the eastern (ie Ukrainian) part of Galicia was a mixture of Orthodox and Uniates.

OTL, when the Russians occupied it in 1914, they did their best to forcibly convert the Uniates to Orthodoxy. One Russian general reportedly complained "We ask for guns and you send us priests".
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Did Russia show any particular interest in Czechia (which, though Slav, was not Orthodox) prior to the outbreak of war in 1914?
Looking back at this thread, I want to make a point here--basically, even if Russia didn't show any interest in Czechia before 1914 in our TL, circumstances can change national opinion. For instance, I don't think that the U.S. showed any interest in New Mexico and Alta California in 1805, and yet the U.S. ended up conquering and acquiring them a little over 40 years later! Also, the same appears to be true for Texas, but replace "40 years" with "30 years."

Thus, even if Russia wouldn't have previously showed any interest in Czechia, if a revolution breaks out in Austria-Hungary, I suspect that Russia will see the potential that Czechia/Czechoslovakia would have as a Russian ally and friend and thus support it.
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Iirc the eastern (ie Ukrainian) part of Galicia was a mixture of Orthodox and Uniates.

OTL, when the Russians occupied it in 1914, they did their best to forcibly convert the Uniates to Orthodoxy. One Russian general reportedly complained "We ask for guns and you send us priests".
Thanks for this information!

Also, frankly, it doesn't seem like a particularly good way to endear yourself to Galicia's Ukrainian population! :(
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Maybe. One could argue that any Czech or Czechoslovak state born in these conditions would be naturally pro-Russian; so making it widely autonomous, but loosely within Germany's sphere, does not radically disturb the balance of power.
Why not simply demand that the Czech part of Czechoslovakia be demilitarized, though?

Also, couldn't a fight/war break out between the Germans and Czech(oslovak)s over the Sudetenland in this TL?
 
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