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Random thought, but what if the Kuomingtang had fallen into disarray or Chiang Kai-Schek had not risen to power or had fallen down some stairs and cracked his skull just a few days before the Northern Expedition against the Warlords?
I imagine the Kuomingtang being reduced to Guangdong province for the time being, almost like another warlord faction, but would China be eventually reunified by someone, maybe a strongman from the Beiyang Government or a Charismatic and powerfulWarlord with time, even without the KMT?