If Bush didn't invade Iraq...
Arab spring would've hit Iraq and there likely would have been attempts at insurrection against Saddam. Given we already had no-fly zones in place and we would be suspecting Saddam furthering his WMDs in light of Iran pursuing them, we would at minimum engage in mission creep and initiate a sustained bombing campaign to try and initiate regime change a la Kosovo or Libya, except the outcome would not necessarily be as decisive given the sectarian differences. The situation would devolve into a Civil War except one side wouldn't have as clear an advantage. There would be calls for potential ground troops (given that there would be no Iraq War to poison the well for that). We would be in a similar situation, except it would be more chaotic.
In your own opinion, consider how he'd react to Iran getting WMD. How would he react to Syria even if the above didn't take place?
Arab spring would've hit Iraq and there likely would have been attempts at insurrection against Saddam. Given we already had no-fly zones in place and we would be suspecting Saddam furthering his WMDs in light of Iran pursuing them, we would at minimum engage in mission creep and initiate a sustained bombing campaign to try and initiate regime change a la Kosovo or Libya, except the outcome would not necessarily be as decisive given the sectarian differences. The situation would devolve into a Civil War except one side wouldn't have as clear an advantage. There would be calls for potential ground troops (given that there would be no Iraq War to poison the well for that). We would be in a similar situation, except it would be more chaotic.
In your own opinion, consider how he'd react to Iran getting WMD. How would he react to Syria even if the above didn't take place?
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