If Black September 1970 turned out differently?

What if Yasser Arafat took a more decisive role in stirring the Palestinian factions to overthrow King Hussein of Jordan. Not to mention if not only Syria but also Egypt thus subsequently the Soviet Union took a more supportive roll in the potential of what they would consider a kindred Socialist Pan-Arabist regime within the borders of Trans-Jordan?

This thread is not going to be about how this happens or once the overthrow is accomplished. What I am pondering about is how this butterfly would effect future Israeli Palestinian relations. On the one hand there would be yet another neighboring regime that imminently threatens the state of Israel and would surely play a vital roll in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. There would also be doubts whether that war would have occurred since Israel would have surely responded to successful revolt even more so then they did in the OTL. But on the other hand with what will be in all technically aspects an officially sovereign Palestinian state a kind of dialogue can be achieved between Israel which would never be possible otherwise. Such a state could also attract Palestinian refugees that resided (some still do to this day IRL) in Lebanon thus avoiding a dark chapter in late 20th Century Middle East history.

In other words in your opinion, would a Trans-Jordan Palestinian state make peace in the Levant more feasible to this day?
 
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Larrikin

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What if Yasser Arafat took a more decisive role in stirring the Palestinian factions to overthrow King Hussein of Jordan. Not to mention if not only Syria but also Egypt thus subsequently the Soviet Union took a more supportive roll in the potential of what they would consider a kindred Socialist Pan-Arabist regime within the borders of Trans-Jordan?

This thread is not going to be about how this happens or once the overthrow is accomplished. What I am pondering about is how this butterfly would effect future Israeli Palestinian relations. On the one hand there would be yet another neighboring regime that imminently threatens the state of Israel and would surely play a vital roll in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. There would also be doubts whether that war would have occurred since Israel would have surely responded to successful revolt even more so then they did in the OTL. But on the other hand with what will be in all technically aspects an officially sovereign Palestinian state a kind of dialogue can be achieved between Israel which would never be possible otherwise. Such a state could also attract Palestinian refugees that resided (some still do to this day IRL) in Lebanon thus avoiding a dark chapter in late 20th Century Middle East history.

In other words in your opinion, would a Trans-Jordan Palestinian state make peace in the Levant more feasible to this day?

Israel would have gone "there you go, you have your Palestinian state, now piss off out of Judea and Samaria". It's what they should have done in 1967, as Jordan is the "Palestinian" state in the famed 2 State Solution.

In many ways it would have solved a lot of the garbage that goes on in Arab occupied Judea and Samaria, but it would also mean that Jordan is one more very thoroughly failed state full of terrorists.
 
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