because you think Taiwan is going to be any better? Sure China is probably poorer and with less naval build up, but it's still roughly the same up until the early 2000s I imagine.That is pretty implausible. China shouldn't even be around in it's current form without the US guaranteeing the international order. We'd be more likely to see a headline about ongoing violence and warlordism in China. Famine? Not an emergency or newsworthy in the ATL china what with the whole environmental damage combined with warlordism and China not getting the food and fuel it imports OTL.
With the famines and climate change, honestly a chinese blockade of taiwan (with a resulting famines) along with some bad typhoons could probably criple it enough its population to accept to surrender. A biafra/tigray situation is probably gonna be effective at the time of environmental collapse.
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