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I know that many will say this is ASB but everything is possible granted the odds would be better of hitting the powerball but no magic is involved at all.
a member of the royal family for best effect either queen victoria or prince albert was visiting some carribean possession and were returning home on the trent, when a similar but worse incident occurs resulting in wilkes grabbing the idiotball and running with it and for whatever reason killing the queen or prince consort. such an action will cause the uk to as described in the thead on max boarders of the csa to "cry havoc and unleash the dogs of war." the anger will be so intense that britian will mobilize to a tremondous level and will want blood many other nations of europe will likely join in the fight (after all the royal families are very intertwined.
this unlikely course of events may very well cause several of the boarder states to declare for the csa late.