How would Asia look if Japan had to be invaded in 1948 (late Coronet)?

Dear all,
1948 was proposed as a date for Downfall (not only Coronet, sorry).
Can we see a development where japan is holding out until 1948?
Will macArthur be on pension or have faded away at that time? or have become the president?
Ivan
1948 may have been an early planning date, but 1946 was the actual date to have troops ashore in the home islands. An open question is what happened if the Imperial Seat evaluated the Tokyo Plain, retreating into the mountains and forcing a guerilla compaign for every last blood-soaked inch of the Home Islands? US combat power would be so overwelming that it would be the end of large organized japanese formations once we had the Tokyo plain. I could see a fanatical japanese army resistance battling on into 1948, however. There were men on isolated islands who fought on into the 1970s. So long as they had guns and the will to use them, they would fight. If the Emperor perished in the fighting for Tokyo...the Army might not have heeded the authority of any other civilian figure who tried to bring the war to a close.

if Japan wasn't invaded, it might have held out until 1948. Much of the civilian population would be dead of starvation. Industries would have stopped. It would be a shattered nation of half-starved men with guns desperate for the fighting to begin. It would never get that far, though. US military power was too vast not to be used to bring the war to a close. The invasion would have gone on in 1946 unless the Japanese accepted surrender terms.

So long as the army was in the field, MacAurthur would be in the army. He was posed to lead the invasion of Japan itself. He would never leave voluntarily.

Tim
 
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