How socially conservative would a surviving Confederacy be?

The issue of population control in the slave/black population would, at least in part, come to rest on economics. As long as slaves represented a significant capital value, increase among "your" slaves represents new value. If the need for unskilled/semiskilled slave labor diminishes, say with mechanization of agriculture, then the value of slaves drops and the cost of raising a slave until they are either productive or saleable at a profit goes up. At his point, a slave owner will want to restrict breeding of slaves, and various birth control measures will be instituted - of which gelding is the most obvious and familiar for agriculturalists. Until you have long lasting hormone shots for birth control, which is way in the future, castration or vasectomy is the only sure means in that neither require any cooperation on the part of the participants (condoms, taking the birth control pill, etc all require cooperation).

Of course, if the CSA becomes concerned about the actual size of the slave/black population these measures will also be instituted. Abortion as a reliable and relatively safe procedure is not really there in the mid 19th century, some abortion inducing herbs exist, but are for early pregnancy and are risky.
 
I also disagree that southern blacks would be left-wing. Why would they be pro-government in a racist country?

To be left-wing doesn't necessarily mean you support the régime in place. Opposition to Franco in Spain, for example, was dominated by the left.

Poor, oppressed people generally support left-wing movements because these promise government intervention to improve their lives. They tend to regard the right-wing parties as perpetuating the status quo. African Americans are not an exception. Consider the many socialist movements in Third World countries from the 1960s onward.
 
To be left-wing doesn't necessarily mean you support the régime in place. Opposition to Franco in Spain, for example, was dominated by the left.

Poor, oppressed people generally support left-wing movements because these promise government intervention to improve their lives. They tend to regard the right-wing parties as perpetuating the status quo. African Americans are not an exception. Consider the many socialist movements in Third World countries from the 1960s onward.

But until the Progressive Period, African-American politics did tend towards economic empowerment. Booker T Washington's way of thinking - black-run free enterprise and focusing on education and professional advancement rather than political - was the predominant political trend in the black community.
 
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