How should LBJ have approached Vietnam?

Really dumb US leadership. PRVN fought a "smart" war.
Yep, a total war footing by Vietnam, using every advantage they had, especially international politics and diplomatic.

In other words, they had better optics than the US :)

Bush Sr actually learnt his lesson and stop the US from invading Iraq in Gulfwar 1. We discussed it a lot here in Vietnam.
 

Deleted member 1487

Really dumb US leadership. PRVN fought a "smart" war.
Not really, they blundered into success. Mark Bowden's Battle of Hue really makes that point by showing just how badly run the Tet Offensive and how it's political success caught the NV government by surprise.

Yep, a total war footing by Vietnam, using every advantage they had, especially international politics and diplomatic.

In other words, they had better optics than the US :)
Not just that, they had better media coverage internally (not that hard in a dictatorship) and externally; they were able to exploit internal US political divisions thanks to US media mismanagement and having a general who didn't understand COIN run the show. Had Westmoreland been able to convince LBJ to invade Laos and cut the Ho Chi Minh Trail it would have effectively ended the war as we know it. It's neutrality was a total farce:
However, the agreement was contravened almost immediately by the United States, the Soviet Union, the Peoples Republic of China, North Vietnam and the Pathet Lao themselves. Contrary to the agreement, North Vietnam continued to garrison 7000 soldiers in Laos, the Soviet Union and the Peoples Republic of China provided military support to the Pathet Lao, and the United States began a bombing campaign that supported both the Royal Laotian Government and their efforts in South Vietnam. Despite the cease fire, the Pathet Lao continued to attack and harass Neutral forces.[4] This exemplified the conduct of all parties throughout the for the remainder of the Second Indochina War.

In 1959 the Democratic Republic of Vietnam had already established a supply line through "neutral" Laotian territory for supplying the Viet Cong insurgency against the government of South Vietnam.[5] It was called by the communists the "Trường Sơn Strategic Supply Route (Đường Trường Sơn)." Despite the 1962 International Agreement on the Neutrality of Laos, the Pathet Lao and North Vietnamese continued to use and improve the supply route which would become known as the Ho Chi Minh Trail .

More specifically, during the Second Indochina War the North Vietnamese obtained the cooperation of the Lao People's Revolutionary Party (Pathet Lao) in constructing and maintaining the Ho Chi Minh Trail which passed through the length of Laos. Thousands of Vietnamese troops were stationed in Laos to maintain the road network and provide for its security. Vietnamese military personnel also fought beside the Pathet Lao in its struggle to overthrow Laos' neutralist government. Cooperation persisted after the war and the Lao communist victory.

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Westmoreland wanted just that, LBJ kept saying no and probably lost the war as a result:
 
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Yep, a total war footing by Vietnam, using every advantage they had, especially international politics and diplomatic.

In other words, they had better optics than the US :)

Bush Sr actually learnt his lesson and stop the US from invading Iraq in Gulfwar 1. We discussed it a lot here in Vietnam.

The Americans still are lesson learning the fusion of politics, psyops, information warfare, and kinetic operations and how the Vietnamese just got between the Americans' ears and won the war where it would be won. In the mind. Classic example of Sun Tzu, beating the enemy where he is weakest. Incompetent western politicians generally arrange their own defeats by fighting imperialist wars instead of just wars of liberation.

The moral component is the decisive component when it comes to the difference between the Americans and Vietnamese in this example. When your enemy begins to believe that you are in the moral "right", then you have defeated him, no matter the so-called battlefield metric and excuses he might make for his defeat. I have read hundreds of thousands of words of excuses, but I tend to blow through that nonsense and look at first causes and results. Hence, it came down to belief, and not much else.
 
How should LBJ have approached the Vietnam War? Simple. Declare victory and go home. A lot of people favored this approach, actually, but of course the US refused to do this, so the war played out accordingly.
In 1966, Saigon Falls, and LBJ's is defending his 'Victory' of a year and a half ago with today's news that there is no more South Vietnam, Cambodia is part of the Communist block as well along with the Indonesian coup the year before, when General Suharto was executed by the PKI, and Thailand currently having border incursions.

Not just Republicans accuse him of ignoring the Red Wave in Asia
 
Not really, they blundered into success. Mark Bowden's Battle of Hue really makes that point by showing just how badly run the Tet Offensive and how it's political success caught the NV government by surprise.


Not just that, they had better media coverage and were able to exploit internal US political divisions thanks to US media mismanagement.

There are 4 combatants in Vietnam in 2 different phases:

The first one is pre 1968, mostly between ARVN units with heavy US support against NVA led but mostly southern insurgencies, with the cumulation in the Tet offensive. This was when the US deployed the most troop, the most discrepancy in forces between the 2 sides and the Vietnamese came within inches of a victory there.

You called it bungling, we here see it in a very different light. We were prepared to fight to the last and it showed. That's why the US decided to withdraw troops and begun Vietnamization. the Vietnamese won the strategic situation. Their goal was to get the US out.

The saying "kick out the US, down with the south" reflects this. Đá cho Mỹ cút, đá cho Ngụy nhào for who understands vietnamese.

The second phase was after 1968, beginning with Vietnamization. This was between north vietnam main line units against ARVN. The south now had no reliable troops, they began to take in the dregs, and their readiness showed. Combine with the extreme corruption of the Thieu adminstration, with my uncle a major in PRVN then could by US equipment in 1974, the writing was on the wall.
 
The Americans still are lesson learning the fusion of politics, psyops, information warfare, and kinetic operations and how the Vietnamese just got between the Americans' ears and won the war where it would be won. In the mind. Classic example of Sun Tzu, beating the enemy where he is weakest. Incompetent western politicians generally arrange their own defeats by fighting imperialist wars instead of just wars of liberation.

The moral component is the decisive component when it comes to the difference between the Americans and Vietnamese in this example. When your enemy begins to believe that you are in the moral "right", then you have defeated him, no matter the so-called battlefield metric and excuses he might make for his defeat. I have read hundreds of thousands of words of excuses, but I tend to blow through that nonsense and look at first causes and results. Hence, it came down to belief, and not much else.
Couldn't agree more with this. Hearts and minds :). You loose that you loose the war. It happened again in Gulfwar 2. The son didn't learn anything.
 
The US leadership at the time was influenced by their korean experience and tried to recreate that in Vietnam, thinking it would be the same but with much more technological discrepancy in favor of the US. They didn't understand 1 key difference: the koreans was colonized by the Japanese, and to most koreans christian faith was a badge of anti Japanese and would rally somewhat with a christian leader. While in Vietnam, Catholics was the tool of oppression by the french, with favors to catholics and the church in detriment to everyone else. So any Catholics, even nationalists Catholics would have no legitimacy and their government would inevitably became an oppressive dictatorship.
In terms of legitimacy Diem wasn't too bad a choice. He was pretty much the only one with uncompromised anti-French and anti-Communist credentials. He had quite a bit of popular support initially. His efforts to stamp out the last French proxies (the Bình Xuyên, and the militias of the Hoa Hao and Cao Dai sects) were pretty popular, even the Buddhist clergy was pretty happy to see him curbing the influence of the upstart sects.

After that though he pursued quite a few unpopular policies (punishing family members of communists, the strategic hamlet program, using intimidation to influence elections, ect...) and the bureaucracy he hastily built to replace the French systems was never up to the task of properly implementing them or explaining the government's reasons for implementing them (partly due to corruption, partly due to unrealistic expectations, partly due to lack of proper training, partly due to wide spread communist infiltration).

And then the Buddhist Crisis came about largely due to communication failures.
 
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Deleted member 1487

Obviously Eisenhower couldn't have known, but France's temper tantrum timeout away from NATO didn't amount to much.
It was a bit more than that:
France wanted it's colonies back, even the communists part of the provisional government did at least not veto the reconquest in 1945-46, but were only interested in keeping it as part of an economic union rather than the old style colonial system.

The US needed France to help restore order in Europe after the war and at the same time needed to look like an ally so the French Left, specifically the Communists, didn't take over the country. Domino Theory started in Europe after all.

Then with the Chinese Civil War and fall of China to the CCP the need to check Communist expansion took on a more urgent tone, especially given politics at the time and blame the Democrats got for 'losing China'.
  • 1949 — Chinese communists reach the northern border of Indochina. The Viet Minh drive the French from the border region and begin to receive large amounts of weapons from the Soviet Union and China. The weapons transform the Viet Minh from an irregular large-scale insurgency into a conventional army.
  • May 1, 1950 — After the capture of Hainan Island from Chinese Nationalist forces by the Chinese People's Liberation Army, President Truman approves $10 million in military assistance for anti-communist efforts in Indochina. The Defense Attaché Office was established in Saigon in May 1950, a formal recognition of Viet Nam (vice French IndoChina). This was the beginning of formal U.S. military personnel assignments in Viet Nam. U.S. Naval, Army and Air Force personnel established their respective attaches at this time.
  • September 1950 — Truman sends the Military Assistance Advisory Group (MAAG) Indochina to Vietnam to assist the French. The President claimed they were not sent as combat troops, but to supervise the use of $10 million worth of U.S. military equipment to support the French in their effort to fight the Viet Minh forces.
  • Following the outbreak of the Korean War, Truman announces "acceleration in the furnishing of military assistance to the forces of France and the Associated States in Indochina...". and sends 123 non-combat troops to help with supplies to fight against the communist Viet Minh.
  • 1951 — Truman authorizes $150 million in French support.
The die was cast already in the late 1940s under Truman.

And the British were also interested in France restoring it's colonial empire and helped them reconquer it:
So once that happens the ball is rolling to put the Viet Minh in league with the Soviets and ChiComs and the US to get stuck trying to help the French keep Communists out of the region.
 
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Protests will be even bigger due to how the US is bascially commiting warcrimes in a foreign country.

Protests were about US dead. Only veterans Fuck The Army type movements really cared about war crimes. Civvies cared about blood and treasure. Even the radical liberals (who believed themselves marxists) cared more about US honour than dead foreigners.

An alternative was, to adopt the Malaysian style, approach favored by the New Zealanders and Australians.
That also used Bombings, heavy deforestation by chemicals and Strategic Hamlets.
ANZAC operations were really no more successful in the long run than US COIN tactics. The ANZACs just fought better in the jungle. When the ANZACs pulled out the VC came right back:

Australia, with attached Kiwis, was given a friendly wicket by the PLAF, didn't bat against PAVN bowling except at Long Tan, and basically had no effect on the NFL/PRG's political programme.

The PLAF/PAVN deliberately attempted to disengage from US forces, preferring to concentrate on ARVN formations. The PAVN directly exerted force against the US a couple of times, and US forces basically had no effect on the NFL/PRG's political programme.

Could the US have killed fewer US personell to achieve a corresponding failed result?

Korea was a more brutal war than Vietnam.

Most people forget that North Korea was successfully deindustrialised by an air campaign in what amounted to a horrific war crime, on the scale of "No Gong" Harris or Curtis "The Demon." There is no way to argue, unlike with the Mad Bomber or the person responsible for an indefensible air strike which immolated an city, Tokyo, that the failure of OPFOR to comply with relevant scales of law of war meant that fall back reciprocity laws of war were in effect, nor that it was proportionate or neccessary in a non-strategic war where external sources of strategic supply existed. There is simply no way to defend the deindustrialisation of North Korea by airstrike within law of war, reciprocity, or in fact military necessity. What was practiced on Tokyo was perfected on the industrial regions of the DPRK. The end political results were probably in nobody's interest.

Vietnam was a very nasty war on scales which humans comprehend well. Raped and murdered villagers. A city of officials tossed into pits. We have a long cultural history of these war crimes, practiced over thousands of years. The *perfect* obliteration of a modern industrial society by aerial bombardment is an incomprehensible war crime to most in its scale scope and mechanisation.

What if the U.S. government "embraced" communist insurgencies by burying them in aid and consumer goods? Kill them with kindness, pay off the new party elites, make them answerable to D.C. and not Moscow or Beijing. Beyond ideological problems making this a non-starter, what's the downside to this?
if the U.S. had decided to support the Vietminh during and after the WWII
The US needed France

About the only way to do this would be a percentages agreement with the French bourgeoisie about the independent political composition of a French Union's member states and a solid commitment from the VWP that it would preferentially trade with France over the Soviet Union. And pigs will fly out of my arse. On the other hand a PCI France dependent upon the United States in opposition to the Soviet Union is an interesting concept. But in any of these case you have to wait until Stalin goes around killing Party Members in Fraternal States in 1949.

The seagull problem.

Not really. It is the capitalism problem. For aid to be sufficient to have political effect, the US has just functionally legitimised why it opposes the Soviet Union, and for that matter UK Labour: the appearance or actuality of increasing the power of the working class to reduce capital's profits. US attitudes to the Soviet Union weren't just anti-Soviet (which they were, for realpolitik reasons of competing blocs of capital). The US bourgeoisie's discourses about the Soviet Union believed it to actually represent some kind of historical transfer of power to the working class and threat to the expanded reproduction of the value form: much like the Soviet bourgeoisie, the US bourgeoisie believed the Soviet Union to be communist.

Now Marxists, Anarchists, or people who actually look at the wage relationship in expanded value reproduction as the sin qua non of capitalism should feel free to laugh, but ideological self-deception is a common place, it is why it is called ideology.

Now the US elite may be dumb as a load of fucking bricks, but before the 1990s they actually promoted rather intelligent functionaries to positions of decision making power. And enough of those functionaries know that legitimising what appears to be communism legitimises communism. Why Tito? Apart from being fucking fabulous, the split between the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia emerged, Yugoslavia was cheap to maintain (ie: not a sufficient goods supply to buy them off, they were bought off already by dick waving between party elites). You get Yugoslavia for free. You have to pay for Vietnam by legitimising communism.

just how badly run the Tet Offensive and how it's political success caught the NV government by surprise.

Not everyone in the VWP(north). The heavily purged Giap network knew Tet-1 was a clusterfuck coming, and had been warning the party despite being purged for doing so. Remember that Khe Sahn was expected to work by the Duan faction.

yours,
Sam R.
 
In terms of legitimacy Diem wasn't too bad a choice. He was pretty much the only one with uncompromised anti-French and anti-Communist credentials. He had quite a bit of popular support initially. His efforts to stamp out the last French proxies (the Bình Xuyên, and the militias of the Hoa Hao and Cao Dai sects), even the Buddhist clergy was pretty happy to see him curbing the influence of the upstart sects.

After that though he pursued quite a few unpopular policies (punishing family members of communists, the strategic hamlet program, using intimidation to influence elections, ect...) and the bureaucracy he hastily built to replace the French systems was never up to the task of properly implementing them or explaining the government's reasons for implementing them (partly due to corruption, partly due to unrealistic expectations, partly due to lack of proper training, partly due to wide spread communist infiltration).

And then the Buddhist Crisis came about largely due to communication failures.

He was THE US choice. There were others but they were not under US control, the most prominent was Vu Hong Khanh, leader of Vietnam Nationalists Party, but he was influenced by the RoC and that party got crushed both by the Communist and Diem. They were one of the first agitaters for revolutions too. Assassinated Bazin for example. Sad story for that lot.

Yeah, Diem got the job pretty much because he's an mandarins from an old family, catholics and was well knewn in america catholics circle abroad (he met the Pope and JFK for example). He was always backed by the US and when the French asked the US for help after 1954, he was their man. He knew he was unpopular, so he relied on his family even more and turned a blind eye to their corruption.

The Buddhist was not thrilled with his actions in squashing the sects. They knew they'd be next. That tension cumulated in the self immolation of Thich Quang Duc in 1963 which was captured on camera and turned the US public against him and the JFK administration. He got killed because of that.

There was no miscommunication. He actively oppressed the Buddhist. He actively demanded the conversion to Catholics as advancement perquisites for officers and civil servants, actively sidelined those who did not convert. His troops openly used chemicals to quell protests by monks led to a lot of deaths. The miscommunication is a myth by his Catholics supporters after he was killed.
 
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Either he deescalates, or he takes the war to the North. Both have pros and cons, with the former option probably being more palatable.
 
Not everyone in the VWP(north). The heavily purged Giap network knew Tet-1 was a clusterfuck coming, and had been warning the party despite being purged for doing so. Remember that Khe Sahn was expected to work by the Duan faction.

yours,
Sam R.

This, absolutely.

There was a power struggle back then between Giap's USSR backed faction and Duan's Chinese backed one. Duan's won and Giap got reassigned to family planning :). And sidelined for the rest of the war. Tet was all Duan, he was ready to sacrifice to the last southerner. He was just revisioned recently, especially after his death.
 
Most people forget that North Korea was successfully deindustrialised by an air campaign in what amounted to a horrific war crime, on the scale of "No Gong" Harris or Curtis "The Demon." There is no way to argue, unlike with the Mad Bomber or the person responsible for an indefensible air strike which immolated an city, Tokyo, that the failure of OPFOR to comply with relevant scales of law of war meant that fall back reciprocity laws of war were in effect, nor that it was proportionate or neccessary in a non-strategic war where external sources of strategic supply existed. There is simply no way to defend the deindustrialisation of North Korea by airstrike within law of war, reciprocity, or in fact military necessity. What was practiced on Tokyo was perfected on the industrial regions of the DPRK. The end political results were probably in nobody's interest.

Vietnam was a very nasty war on scales which humans comprehend well. Raped and murdered villagers. A city of officials tossed into pits. We have a long cultural history of these war crimes, practiced over thousands of years. The *perfect* obliteration of a modern industrial society by aerial bombardment is an incomprehensible war crime to most in its scale scope and mechanisation.

We were lucky. There was calls for the a bomb to be dropped in Dien Bien Phu.

The korean war was fought with ww2's tech. Perfected ww2 but still ww2. No guided munitions, no surgical strike. This was operation Downfall in effect.

Everything was different in late 60s and early 70s. Laser guided munitions were a thing, made surgical strikes possible. No need to bring in vulnerable bombers that could be shot down with the lost of a 5 men crew. Single seat fighter bombers was better.

That's why there's no fire bombing of Hanoi, the US human cost was too high. 25 B52s lost in a 10 days operation utilising 300 B52. That was not sustainable.

We were very, very lucky indeed.
 
This, absolutely.

There was a power struggle back then between Giap's USSR backed faction and Duan's Chinese backed one. Duan's won and Giap got reassigned to family planning :). And sidelined for the rest of the war. Tet was all Duan, he was ready to sacrifice to the last southerner. He was just revisioned recently, especially after his death.
Um no, both factions were pro-Soviet, Duan was even more sinophobic than Giap. The differences are Giap belongs to the moderates and Duan, the radicals. Giap didn't want to fight a conventional war with the US.
 
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Protests were about US dead. Only veterans Fuck The Army type movements really cared about war crimes. Civvies cared about blood and treasure. Even the radical liberals (who believed themselves marxists) cared more about US honour than dead foreigners.
You still need to consider the logistical issues though.
 
Um no, both factions were pro-Soviet, Duan was even more sinophobic than Giap. The differences are Giap belongs to the moderates and Duan, the radicals.
Yeah, sorry about that. The Sino-soviet faction infighting was before 68. I was wrong. Thanks for reminding me. Will left it as it for context :)
 
I think Diem's bungling of The Strategic Hamlet program is what made the NLF so powerful in the first place.
 
You still need to consider the logistical issues though.
US moral abhorrence reduces ROTC enlistments and slightly reduces volunteer desirable enlistments.

The reduced rate of ROTC enlistments is advantageous at is weeds out Lt. Calley and forces hyperrotation of competent officers through Vietnam. More low ranked officers die. Big deal. The ones who served more are second timers.

Lower volunteer desirable enlistments means that more young black men are sent to Germany. This is a good thing.

As far as VWP(n) VWP(s) NFL/PRG or actually-fucking-communist logistics. They're the same as historically. Mostly steal from the ARVN. PLAF mavouevre elements are stored dispersed and having to be supplied from the north. Most PRG forces were PLAF order / "local force" politicised paramilitaries enforcing the continued competence of the NFL/PRG to operate as a state-in-being in the south. Forces capable of stand up battle were largely politically irrelevant except in Giap's rolling 3 year offensive plan. And they were cross border.

As far as the political competence of the Australians, well some day a liberal ex-serviceman will become PM, or the ALP might win an election. OH LOOK WHICH POLITICIANS WITHDREW AUSTRALIA. ;).

yours,
Sam R.
 
I wonder what would've happened if Truman answered Ho Chi Minh's phone calls and recognized an independent Vietnam. He modeled Vietnam's Constitution after the US version after all. This could've butterflied the entire Vietnam situation before Johnson even becomes president.
 
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