How realistic it is for all presidents to end their terms of office without being recalled or deceas

Hello, everybody. I am developing a list of presidents that begins in 1824 until today under an alternative history of Mexico. And I ask myself, is it realistic that all presidents (from the first president to the "current" one) end their terms without death in office or being dismissed until today?

Something similar happens in Mexico since 1934 where all presidents have completed their positions but my doubt is especially for the period 1800 to 1934.

Bonus for those who find a list of presidents that surpasses the list of Mexico that has been without death or dismissal for more than 80 years.
 
Death is too random to factor in to this equation. However, a single 6 year term and a process where each President effectively selected their successor from a limited pool of approved candidates also limits the opportunity for death to harvest a sitting president. AN older or unhealthy candidate is unlikely to be the chosen one in the PRI co-optation system
 
Likely? Probably not.
Believable? Sure.

All you are asking is that no completely inept fools are elected, and that a small selection of well-off people can live an "average" lifespan at minimum (assuming they are in office in their 50s or so). The first is easy enough to do if there is some way to prevent idiots from becoming serious candidates in the first place (eg. a party electing its own leader). The second is already the norm, and you're just saying "no age outliers less than the mean occur" - yes there may be a 5% chance, but it is still only a 5% chance, and so doesn't have to come up very often (0.95^40 = 0.13, so there is still a reasonable chance of avoiding outliers with a sample size of ~40 presidents).

- BNC
 
Top