Probably not in 1917, but very likely at some point afterwards. Basically, given Russian Tsar Nicholas II's incompetence, I don't see his reign ending very well even without any World Wars.Are we assuming that the February Revolution still happens?
Out of curiosity--does anyone here have any data on just how many ethnic Russians moved to Siberia and Central Asia in the decades before the start of World War I?The demographics would probably be more Russian, Belorussian, and Ukrainian as those areas would have extra millions of people who'd migrate to central Asia and Siberia. Though not as much as one would expect, since a non-communist Russia will be less likely to do massive state-supported movements of people.
Out of curiosity--does anyone here have any data on just how many ethnic Russians moved to Siberia and Central Asia in the decades before the start of World War I?
It's not a given that those events or equivalents of them would be avoided without the Soviets. Famines and rebellions happened under the Tsars too.In 1916 Central Asia lost its %15 of Turkic population due to Tsarist regime's punitive expeditions in 1916 Turkestan Revolt.
During Kazakh famine of 1919–1922, Kazakhs lost %20 of their population.
During WW2, Central Asian SSR's lost %5-10 of their population.
I'm not even count the 80's and 90's economic problems that caused low birth rates.
So, without these events, I think central asian native population would be higher than slavic population.