As can be seen in my previous response I do not believe the Entente can win without the USA, we are effectively doomed to at least a stalemate, slightly favoring the CPs but they are hard pressed to outright win without more changes earlier. So if the goal is to vanquish France and we are not doing so in a 1914 miracle play then I would argue for the East First departure as discussed elsewhere on this forum.
With Germany fighting defensively for the first year or two against France, France will bleed itself in fruitless offensives while Germany can maneuver and dismantle the Russians, here A-H does much better and we open the door for a more circumscribed war, the Ottomans and Italy may or may not join. With Russia bowing out then Germany can focus on breaking through and defeating France. Here the blockade might never quite hobble Germany and the naval war might be more aggressive as Britain has less to do on land. Britain cannot be defeated at sea or invaded so it still holds the best cards for any peace, throttling what Germany can make stick beyond territory it seizes.
So we may get the often sketched out German seizure of Paris, a bloody slog across France and the sword put into her heart. Without distractions the British can commit ample troops to slow the Germans but I do not see them stopping it, and that means much more of France is devastated. Here Germany can vanquish France but face virtual isolation from Britain unless they compromise, Germany cannot regain her colonies or get any of France's unless Britain lifts her seaborne check. And that is where we get wiggle room.
Germany can opt to carve up Europe and prepare to face off with Britain, punish France but yield to British demands and secure true peace, or muddle something not any of the two. Personally I do not think Germany knew what it wanted, their wants and their demands are quite malleable. Wilhelm wants more grandeur and more Princes that answer to his throne, he wants to visit Paris as a Caesar. He wants all to flatter his greatness. And he is in position to get what he craves.
Interestingly I have Germany not moving through Belgium so much of what Britain fears is just the French channel coast now, her justification to this war more threadbare, the naval war was never that far or such a close threat, Germany is not vilified, this is a different war. Germany can carve off more of Lorraine and likely demand a harsh indemnity, restrict France to a defensive Army and token Navy, but what it gains from France's Empire is reliant upon British agreement. One could toy with an occupied France akin to post-1940, that might be how Britain salvages things beyond the continent and German virtually absorbs France. Here Wilhelm's reputation is stronger and his dynastic inclination might get you a monarchy restored in France. If he made peace with Nicholas and Russia does not implode, we see an odd resetting of the clock to renew the age of Kings and Empires. So I could craft a French royal vassal state that begins to narrate itself a rebirth of the true Kaiserreich, the Holy Roman Empire resurrected. That makes for some strange fiction. Thus for me the map is far less dictated by what we know as we change things, to get a CP victory does not get us the same war, the same outcomes or even things so easily predicted. Therefore a CP victory is a change in magnitude rather than degree, it should truly reorder the future rather than tweak the details so things simply become the same.