How much did the Poles want in 1863 and how much could they get?

Territorially, that is. The only info I have on that is vague references to the old Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, but just what does that mean? Does it mean the 1699-1772 borders? Did they want Courland? Latgalia? Warmia?

Were they serious about the tripartite division (Poland-Lithuania-Ukraine) and how many Ukrainians would have gone with it? Could they have gotten a Saxon on the throne and would they have wanted him if they could, given how the last one turned out? Would a Romanov have been acceptable? A Habsburg? An actual republic? What's the latest POD for the uprising not to happen at all? If it could only be delayed, what's the longest possible delay?
 
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The revolt was largely confined to Congressional Poland. Yes, there would some areas of rebellion in former Lithuania, but by 1863 the Poles largely wanted Poland, and that means Warsaw, and to a lesser extent Lublin, in that period. Essentially everything between Poznań and Brześć.
 
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