How many terms would Nixon get?

[mr1940s]

I have been able to find some GDP growth figures from 1970 onwards.
1971: 3.3 %
1972: 5.3 %
1973: 5.7 %
1974: -0.52 %
1975: -0.2%
1976: 5.4 %
1977: 4.6 %
1978: 5.6%
1979: 3.2 %
1980: -0.24
The figures are interesting because they demonstrate a tremendous economic growth in 1972-1973, a result of Nixon's reflationary measures. However using these statistics is flawed because they are in constant dollars, and do not represent the impact of inflation, as in real dollars the economy will contract if it grows at 3% yet inflation runs at 4%
Inflation ran high during the 1970s, and the average inflation rates demonstrate this
1970:5.7%
1971:4.4%
1972:3.2%
1973:6.2%
1974:11.0%
1975:9.1%
1976:5.8%
1977:6.5%
1978:7.6%
1979:11.3%
1980:13.5%

In 1976 Nixon would be forced to run in an election dominated by the poor economy. Domestic affairs were not Nixon's strong suit. What's more Nixon's record is likely to mean that he would be unwilling to cary out a deflationary policy during 1974-1975 or 1980. This means that not only is inflation likely to be higher, but the recessions would probably be worse. This means that if Nixon overcomes the challenge of 1976, he would find it very very difficult to win in 1980

 

[Dayton Kitchens]

I have trouble ever conceiving of Nixon managing beyond two terms. the thing to remember is that the American people never really liked Nixon.

His landslide in 1972 was mainly due to the incredibly bad Democratic candidate and the fact that the Vietnam War seemed to be drawing down. Vietnamization had cut the number of American soldiers deployed to Vietnam and consequently the number of casualties and even better fewer draftees.

 

[jpj1421]

I think Nixon could win a third term, but would probably not. In a world without Watergate, like my election game (more information down in my signature), and even without the 22nd amendment he'd tap a successor who may or may not be nominated; almost certainly John Connally vs. Ronald Reagan. The Republicans win in 76, only to be beaten in 80. Despite how my election game (more information down in my signature), I'd say Nixon 1969-1977, Reagan 1977-1981, then....let's say Gary Hart 1981-1989, Walter Mondale 1989-1993/1997. I don't know how I feel beyond that timeframe.

 

[GeographyDude]

I have been able to find some GDP growth figures from 1970 onwards.
1971: 3.3 %
1972: 5.3 %
1973: 5.7 %
1974: -0.52 %
1975: -0.2%
1976: 5.4 %
1977: 4.6 %
1978: 5.6%
1979: 3.2 %
1980: -0.24
The figures are interesting because they demonstrate a tremendous economic growth in 1972-1973, a result of Nixon's reflationary measures. However using these statistics is flawed because they are in constant dollars, and do not represent the impact of inflation, as in real dollars the economy will contract if it grows at 3% yet inflation runs at 4% . . .

Thanks for the numbers. Is there a source you'd like which you could recommend?