How long would the Civil War last if Kentucky joined the Confederacy but New York also seceded under Mayor Fernando Wood?

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The Purple/Blue (Colorblind) is the Union, Red is the Confederacy and the Orange is New York.

Apparently New York City or at least the Mayor also thought about leaving the Union to keep economic ties with the Confederacy and this got me thinking. How long would this Civil War last and what be the outcome if the Union won vs if the Union lost?
 

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New York would never be allowed to secede. You thought Lincoln's moves in Maryland were heavy handed? NYC is way too vital and isolated to try and go it alone.
 
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