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When we see pop culture examples of the CSA surviving into the modern age, we often see slavery as an institution still existing up to the present day. More realistically, there would eventually come a point at which slavery would come to an end, either through peaceful emancipation or by a slave revolt/revolution.

Assuming the Civil War ends in Confederate victory (let's say after a few years of defensive, guerrilla-style war, and a recognition of independence by France and Britain, the Confederates win in 1865 after McClellan wins the election), how long would it take for slavery to be abolished, would it be abolished vie reform or revolution, and what would the political, social and economic for it all? What would the status of black people be today in a still-existing CSA?
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