So many variables. Can the German people live with themselves even as recently as 2000 if they know their grandparents killed close to 200 million people for living space they didn’t need? Even if the regime moderates, will they have any choice but to keep up the charade that liquidating that many people was justified? That probably makes full reintegration next to impossible even by 2018, though by now the younger generation would probably feel less guilt for crimes committed by people they never met creating the possibility of Germany becoming more open to how bad their crimes were, but also more indifferent.
Post war, they probably have very high population growth and low economic growth, making a handful of reforms but becoming a basket case. They have enough living space that expansion won’t be useful but attempts to expand will trigger nuclear war, probably preventing war. I’m not sure what countries Germany would support abroad? Sponsoring independence movements?
I think that their economic growth remains poor while they mostly remain isolated due to a combination of their pariah status and desire for self sufficiency. By 2000 Germany is more like a giant North Korea in terms of foreign relations, where all of their neighbors are justifiably scared or concerned of them, but the regime has little actual reason to go to war or harm them and everyone knows war is consequently unlikely. Their past atrocities and military capabilities will still dwarf OTL North Korea’s, but at the same time they will also probably have atleast trade and tourism normalized by the present.
They are probably vaguely normalized internationally by now but still a major concern. Almost like a mix of North Korea (the horror story’s), Russia (former big bad who has gone through some decay but is still seen as a top threat), and China (still ruled by very old totalitarian regime that has reformed over time and no longer really abides by its original ideological principles).
Post war, they probably have very high population growth and low economic growth, making a handful of reforms but becoming a basket case. They have enough living space that expansion won’t be useful but attempts to expand will trigger nuclear war, probably preventing war. I’m not sure what countries Germany would support abroad? Sponsoring independence movements?
I think that their economic growth remains poor while they mostly remain isolated due to a combination of their pariah status and desire for self sufficiency. By 2000 Germany is more like a giant North Korea in terms of foreign relations, where all of their neighbors are justifiably scared or concerned of them, but the regime has little actual reason to go to war or harm them and everyone knows war is consequently unlikely. Their past atrocities and military capabilities will still dwarf OTL North Korea’s, but at the same time they will also probably have atleast trade and tourism normalized by the present.
They are probably vaguely normalized internationally by now but still a major concern. Almost like a mix of North Korea (the horror story’s), Russia (former big bad who has gone through some decay but is still seen as a top threat), and China (still ruled by very old totalitarian regime that has reformed over time and no longer really abides by its original ideological principles).