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After the fragmentation of Kievan Rus, can Russia stay disunited for centuries after? Can there be many Russian principalities competing with each other for dominance as Sweden, Poland-Lithuania, or perhaps other powers manipulate them for their own gain?

And if disunited for long enough, is a movement like the Risorgimento or German pan-nationalism inevitable? Whoever controls Siberia might have a huge advantage, assuming they were able to beat the Tatar states to begin with.
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