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Had the Japanese not invaded/raided U.S territory during their "strike south", how long would it take for the U.S to join the war? I'm under the imagination that pretty much everything stays the same during the invasion south. I'm not sure if the allocation of the divisions used for the Philippines would have made much of a difference in other areas of operation due to shipping and logistic issues, please correct me if I am wrong.

Would the U.S still adopt a "Germany first" strategy once it joins?
With a launching point from the Philippines, where and how would the U.S strike?
What over-all effects would this have on the war at large?

I plan to make a short scenario video (maybe even TL) on this but would want some other opinions.
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