How far does George Allen get in the 2008 primaries?

Say "macaca" doesn't happen and he wins comfortably (last pre-macaca poll had Allen leading 56-37) over Webb. I say he becomes a younger and more vigorous version of Fred Thompson myself. Also, does he become a '12 contender if he performs respectably?
 
He could knock out Huckabee, and keep Thompson out if he gets in early. Since Rudy was doomed in Iowa, and Romney was a moderate, Allen might win Iowa, and South Carolina, but I cant see him as a nominee. He might some Tea Party support in 2012, but probaly will be considered too establishment.
 
If he wins, he runs in 2008 at least in a token manner to get a national name.

Assuming an Obama selection and victory and '08 and most everything else OTL, Allen would be a strong candidate in '12. He would basically sell himself as a credible candidate who could represent the Tea Party as well.
 

JoeMulk

Banned
Ive often wondered this myself as in 2006 I predicted a Feingold-Allen race in 08. I was involved in the "draft feingold" movement and was supremely bummed when he opted out of running. I think he would have gotten the nomination and then defeated Allen.
 
The problem in SC is that McCain has a huge constituency among veterans, but Virginia is more Southern than Arizona. Certainly Allen is far more a Southerner than McCain. So a close race in SC.
 
In a short story I'm working on, due to butterflies, he never says Maccacca, and gets the republican nomination in 2008, and beats Obama narrowly.
 
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