How does a Surviving Soviet Union affect 1996 Elections

Presuming that the Soviet Union remains under the control of Soviet hardliners and that Bush wins re-election in 1992, how does that affect both parties primaries and the general election?

Who wins the GOP primaries?

Who wins the Dem. primaries?

After that who wins in the general election?

How does Ross Perot impact the election?
 
GOP:

Bob Dole, Pat Buchanan, John McCain and Dan Quayle

Democratic:

Al Gore, Bill Bradley, Dick Gephardt, John Kerry and Bob Graham
 
Thanks! Who do you think would win each parties primary and then the election :)

Buchanan and McCain only win like, 5 or less primaries. The main fight for the GOP will be Quayle v Dole. Both are establishment, but other than that, it will kind of be like Clinton v Sanders since that was close.

All of the anti-Gore Democrats will try to associate Gore with the disastrous Clinton campaign, but only win a handful of primaries, mostly on regional lines (Kerry takes some of New England, Gephardt takes some of the Midwest, Bradley only wins New Jersey and Graham only takes Florida) with only Gore achieving nationwide support. I don't know who would win between old, experienced, and uncharismatic but not Gaffe prone (and awesome) Dole vs young, kind of has more experience but gaffe-prone (and also awesome) Quayle. I doubt Bush will endorse any of them before the nominee is decided.

With the General, I can see Dole or Quayle ecking out a narrow victory, but they have to work hard since the American public is suffering party fatigue. If any of the 2 pick Powell, then Buchanan may run 3rd party as he threatened OTL if Dole picked Powell which would had sealed the election for Gore. With Perot, well, I don't think he will make much of a difference.
 
Buchanan and McCain only win like, 5 or less primaries. The main fight for the GOP will be Quayle v Dole. Both are establishment, but other than that, it will kind of be like Clinton v Sanders since that was close.

All of the anti-Gore Democrats will try to associate Gore with the disastrous Clinton campaign, but only win a handful of primaries, mostly on regional lines (Kerry takes some of New England, Gephardt takes some of the Midwest, Bradley only wins New Jersey and Graham only takes Florida) with only Gore achieving nationwide support. I don't know who would win between old, experienced, and uncharismatic but not Gaffe prone (and awesome) Dole vs young, kind of has more experience but gaffe-prone (and also awesome) Quayle. I doubt Bush will endorse any of them before the nominee is decided.

With the General, I can see Dole or Quayle ecking out a narrow victory, but they have to work hard since the American public is suffering party fatigue. If any of the 2 pick Powell, then Buchanan may run 3rd party as he threatened OTL if Dole picked Powell which would had sealed the election for Gore. With Perot, well, I don't think he will make much of a difference.

Interesting. Do you really think taht the establishment lane is big enough for two canadites? I would think that it woudl likely be a GOP civil war between Buchannan and Dole.

What about Richardson on the Democratic side. Would she pose a serious campaign.
 
Interesting. Do you really think taht the establishment lane is big enough for two canadites? I would think that it woudl likely be a GOP civil war between Buchannan and Dole.

What about Richardson on the Democratic side. Would she pose a serious campaign.

In OTL, Buchanan was crushed. He narrowly ecked out a plurality in New Hampshire, and the GOP wasn't ready for an extreme conservative. I can only see Buchanan winning Louisiana or Mississippi or probably Virginia, but I can't see him winning anywhere else. Also, which Richardson?
 
In OTL, Buchanan was crushed. He narrowly ecked out a plurality in New Hampshire, and the GOP wasn't ready for an extreme conservative. I can only see Buchanan winning Louisiana or Mississippi or probably Virginia, but I can't see him winning anywhere else. Also, which Richardson?

Interesting about Buchanan.

I'm talking about Ann Richardson, Texan Govenor.
 
Interesting about Buchanan.

I'm talking about Ann Richardson, Texan Govenor.

Well, first of all, it was Ann Richards. Second of all, she did not run in 1992 while being Texan governor, 2 years later she got walloped by Bush. I doubt she would run again. But if she did run, she could pose a serious threat to Gore, as Richards could gain Women voters and Anti-Gore Southerners that would otherwise flock to Graham or Gephardt if her campaign proves to be capable.
 
With the General, I can see Dole or Quayle ecking out a narrow victory, but they have to work hard since the American public is suffering party fatigue. If any of the 2 pick Powell, then Buchanan may run 3rd party as he threatened OTL if Dole picked Powell which would had sealed the election for Gore. With Perot, well, I don't think he will make much of a difference.

I think Dole would be the GOP nominee and the Democrats would narrowly eek out a victory in the general election with voter fatigue and I'd imagine what would be Bush's second term wouldn't be better than what was Clinton's first term, at best it would be the same, and Clinton's first term in office had its rocky moments outside of the economy, which really didn't pick up steam until '95.
 
Only can work if the US made a policy of propping up the USSR, which is not impossible as in the 80s and 90s the US gave billions to the USSR and then Russia. Perhaps the USSR resorts to brutal tactics which in effect makes US support domestically unpopular, though not among the establishment types that love throwing money at problems irregardless to a lack of positive outcome. Perhaps, Buchanan can ride a populist wave against it. Look what Perot did in 92 (he might have never run if USSR survived) and what Trump is doing now. A Bush signing NAFTA and supporting an unpopular USSR can be a big plus for Buchanan running for the Repub nomination.

The media then destroys him during the general and the Democrat wins, and continues with the same.
 
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