How do the Republic of China/United Korean Peninsula develop?

And even without the communists, there are still going to be significant portions of the country ruled by local warlords, and large portions of the central government apparatus under the sway of various factions and cliques. I really don't see how Chiang could really implement any coherent nation-wide policies in such an atmosphere.

Not really, the warlord era was long over. All that was left was the pro-KMT Ma clique in central China and the pro-Soviet East Turkestan Republic in northern Xinjiang.
 
Not really, the warlord era was long over. All that was left was the pro-KMT Ma clique in central China and the pro-Soviet East Turkestan Republic in northern Xinjiang.

You're right, sorry, I guess I exaggerated a bit there. Though IIRC there was also Long Yun in Yunnan, and the KMT army had a number of powerful personalities who stood in the way of having a streamlined fighting force completely obedient to Chiang.
 
I think you need an epter man than Chiang in charge, BTW, to pull off a KMT win, BTW, and preferably at the latest, before the civil war'd gone far. Pretty much all his contemporaries agreed Chiang was terribly mediocre for such an important position.

one billion Chinese is a result of Mao's policy of constant fertilization of China so that in case of nuclear war, China will survive and take over the world. Indeed, Chinese population is overinflated by Mao Zedong.
Er, I'm afraid the reality of Mao's fertilization of China was to starve his peasants wholesale, sadly similarly to how Stalin did in Russia. The only overinflation happened in the propaganda.

And, in free societies, there's alot less of a link between resources and population. Free farmers regularly improve their yields dramatically. The US regularly sees land turned from farm to idleness or other uses without any loss in total production. I imagine we'd see similar processes in China, especially after whenever the KMT would've liberalized.
 

Markus

Banned
As India has shown:rolleyes:. Taiwan received serious economical support from USA, it was a lot more developed from the start, many of the refugees was the former Chinese elite. Republican China are going to look nothing like Taiwan. It are going to follow miserable economical policies for the first many decades, and it will suffer from internal unrest.

Why? If the elites stay in China they could re-start the economy. And AFAIK the KMT´s economic policies were sound, weren´t they? We might see clusters of development in many places. Hong-Kong, Shanghai-Nanking and off course Manchuria come to my mind.

No civil war(or a short one) would help the economy, no great leap foreward will too, just as no cultural revolution. So we are looking at less US support on the one hand but far less communist screw-ups on the other. IOTL the PRC didn´t get on the right economic track until when, the early 80´s? And if you look inland, you will notice that the boomtowns on the coast are not the rule but the exception.

I repeat: in 65 years a non-cummunist China could only do better.
 
A thought on US politics: IIRC, Ike's political positions were very unclear, right up until he declared his candidacy as a Republican. Is it possible we could see a Democratic Ike in 1952?
 
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