Probably with difficulty but the most likely POD would be the continuation of the Cold War so that the United States continues to prop up apartheid. Also no sporting boycotts especially Rugby.Resettlement was in some ways a non started as the economy relied on African Labour so there would always be black people in townships. Effectively apartheid was impracticable for ecomomic reasons and the amount if interbreeding which had resulted in a substantially higher mixed race population than the statistics showed. Apart from all that the trade unions had the power to render the country ungovernable.
However do we want it to survive? Are things all that bad, a recent visit to South Africa mainly on a game reserve in Limpopo suggests the Afrikaaners are not that badly off there is still a considerable economic divide in rural areas i.e country lodges with all white clientelle as car ownership is largely white. I was able to walk around the subburbs of Pretoria quite safely in daylight, never tried it after dark. I dropped my wallet at a service station and a black man pointed it out. The alternative to the settlelent reached would have been ultimately bloodshed even if the regime had stayed in power longer. At least there was a relatively peaceful settlement with the whites retaining a considerable amount of economic power, protected jobs and pensions etc whilst loosing political power.
The main issue at the time was a wave of strikes which had a positive side in that trade unions are a better way of improving living standards than confiscatory Mugabe like measures and a more effective opposition than the opposition parties. There is hope, Mbeki going has helped, Jacob Zuma whatever his shortcomings is more consensual.
However do we want it to survive? Are things all that bad, a recent visit to South Africa mainly on a game reserve in Limpopo suggests the Afrikaaners are not that badly off there is still a considerable economic divide in rural areas i.e country lodges with all white clientelle as car ownership is largely white. I was able to walk around the subburbs of Pretoria quite safely in daylight, never tried it after dark. I dropped my wallet at a service station and a black man pointed it out. The alternative to the settlelent reached would have been ultimately bloodshed even if the regime had stayed in power longer. At least there was a relatively peaceful settlement with the whites retaining a considerable amount of economic power, protected jobs and pensions etc whilst loosing political power.
The main issue at the time was a wave of strikes which had a positive side in that trade unions are a better way of improving living standards than confiscatory Mugabe like measures and a more effective opposition than the opposition parties. There is hope, Mbeki going has helped, Jacob Zuma whatever his shortcomings is more consensual.