Hoover in 1924: Who do the Republicans nominate in 1932?

The divergence here is one that has been discussed before. Harding survives, but decides against running for a second term. Herbert Hoover then wins the Republican nomination and the election. He is easily reelected in 1928. In those threads the consensus was that Hoover would not be able to avert the depression, meaning 1932 will still be a strongly anti-incumbent year. Which raises a question, presumably Hoover would be in neither the mood or the position to buck tradition to seek a third term. So who do the Republicans nominate in his place in this altered 1932?
 
The divergence here is one that has been discussed before. Harding survives, but decides against running for a second term. Herbert Hoover then wins the Republican nomination and the election. He is easily reelected in 1928. In those threads the consensus was that Hoover would not be able to avert the depression, meaning 1932 will still be a strongly anti-incumbent year. Which raises a question, presumably Hoover would be in neither the mood or the position to buck tradition to seek a third term. So who do the Republicans nominate in his place in this altered 1932?

Well I don't know much but I can give my 2 cents for what it's worth! Silent Cal was originally in the '32 Republican Convention. But if he wasn't the former President then maybe he doesn't have much pull in this.

There is Charles G. Dawes but he was a banker in civilian life and maybe that doesn't go over well in a country where banks are foreclosing on family farms ;). Other than that, founder of the Dawes Plan, Ambassador to the UK, and a Nobel prize winner. Not a bad looking candidate. Certainly sounds good to the untrained ear (mine).
 
One more point about Dawes is that he had significant experience as the Director of the Budget Bureau and some other financial work in government so he looks pretty good from business and finance standpoint as well.
 
Depends on the mood of the convention. If they're supportive of the Hoover administration, they're likely to nominate Hoover's VP (Charles Curtis IOTL, but could vary ITTL) or a major figure from his cabinet (Andrew Mellon or Henry Stimson).

On the other hand, if they're ready to wash their hands of Hoover and his administration, my guess would be Robert LaFollette.
 

Penelope

Banned
On the other hand, if they're ready to wash their hands of Hoover and his administration, my guess would be Robert LaFollette.

Who would have been dead since the first 3 months of the Hoover administration. No better way to wash their hands of the previous administration than by nominating someone who'd been dead since it started!
 
Presuming conditions and second term Hoover's reactions are the same here as they were historically, I think the incentive the Republicans will have is to nominate someone distant from President Hoover someone who is perceived as likely to do more than Hoover. Unlike in twenties, I would expect the progressive wing to do better than usual. However the institutional strength of the Conservatives will be difficult to overcome and Hoover will probably have some influence at the convention.

The obvious answer is Frank Lowden. On the other hand this would be his third attempt at the nomination presuming he seeks it in 1924. And everyone knows the Republican nomination is a poisoned chalice that year. So there is a good chance that he stays home.

Given this is before Vice Presidents were regularly nominated for the Presidency, we do not an obvious nominee in Charles Curtis presuming Curtis is still in that position here.

I think it could be a hell of a fight at the convention.
 
Depends on the mood of the convention. If they're supportive of the Hoover administration, they're likely to nominate Hoover's VP (Charles Curtis IOTL, but could vary ITTL) or a major figure from his cabinet (Andrew Mellon or Henry Stimson).

On the other hand, if they're ready to wash their hands of Hoover and his administration, my guess would be Robert LaFollette.

LaFollette seems a little too new to the scene don't you think?
 
Who would have been dead since the first 3 months of the Hoover administration. No better way to wash their hands of the previous administration than by nominating someone who'd been dead since it started!

There is still an outside chance that a member of the progressive wing wins the nomination. Congressman La Guardia might be the champion of that Wing here, given his actions in congress at the time. Not saying that he wins the nomination, but I can see him contesting it at the convention, and having a reasonable amount of support depending on just how strong the progressives are here. If not him, perhaps the champion of that wing could end up being someone like Senator Borah.
 
I thought he meant Jr.

I was looking at runners up in the 1920s conventions, saw Sr. in 1924, and confused him with Jr.

Jr's an outside possibility, having been a Senator for 7 years as of 1932, but yeah, probably too new to the scene to be the front-runner.
 
I was looking at runners up in the 1920s conventions, saw Sr. in 1924, and confused him with Jr.

Jr's an outside possibility, having been a Senator for 7 years as of 1932, but yeah, probably too new to the scene to be the front-runner.

Gawdernit! I still like Dawes!!
 
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