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alternatehistory.com
Recycle alert: I originally posted this on my webpage in March 1998. I'll leave the text intact, but I may add commentary where I think things clearly wouldn't work the way I have them working.
[SIZE=+1]Summary:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]What Actually Happened[/SIZE]: [SIZE=+1]Hitler went after the Caucasus oil without defeating the Soviet army.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1][/SIZE][SIZE=+1]What Might Have Happened: Hitler goes for Moscow in summer 1942.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Early 1943--Eastern Front -- Germans head south after oil[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Early 1943--Southern Front - Axis forces pushed back into French held Tunisia. What role will the Vichy French play? [/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Early 1943--Western Front - US wants to invade Northern France Britain says no.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Late 1943--Southern Front - Hitler invades Vichy France and gets a nasty surprise.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Late 1943--Western Front - Major allied raids in Northern France. The US decides to try to stay.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Late 1943--Eastern Front - Germans get somewhat further than they did in 1943, then the Soviets hit them hard.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]1943--Pacific War - Allied progress in Burma, but no breakthrough yet.[/SIZE]
Note: This scenario was inspired by Richard Overy's excellent book Why The Allies Won. I also thank Doug Bryhan for helping me refine my views on the impact of the fall of Moscow on the Soviet system