Shadow Master
Banned
Ubderstood your points first time round, but had to attend class and couldn't use mini during the lecture.Let me explain it again...
Germany and the US have been fighting an undeclared naval war in the Atlantic since the creation of the Neutrality Patrol in 1940.
After 7 Dec 41 the US and UK now allies fighting Japan and the US will move to supply her ally in that war.
Germany cannot allow those supplies to reach the UK because there isn't some Cosmic Umpire making sure said supplies will only be used against Japan.
Germany will sink US supply ships because it must and, when it does, the US and Germany will be at war.
It's not a matter of IF there will be a war between the US and Germany, it's a matter of WHEN there will be a war between the US and Germany. The war was now a foregone conclusion because of the US-UK alliance against Japan, so Hitler decided to begin the war at a time of his choosing. Every week he delayed would have meant the US was stronger and more ready. By striking as soon as he did, he struck the US when it was as weak as it would ever be in the war Germany could not prevent.
Do you understand now?
Although I understand your points, I do not happen to agree with your conclusions.
The US isn't just FDR, and if it had been up to FDR alone then the US would have been in a shooting war much earlier, right? Therefore, as historically the US didn't DoW Germany until after Germanys DoW, it obviously was not up to FDR (and those who also clearly saw that war with Germany was surely needed), hence the issue is not as clear cut as your points would seem to indicate.
In fact, I believe that you are overlooking the entire possibiliy that conflict with Germany could be avoided if the US public is shown that a diplomatic solution is possible. Germany asks the US to mediate in the UK/German war, in order to bring about an immediate cease-fire. This would then be followed up quickly with negotiations starting up for the withdrawl of both the UK/German naval blockades.
If the US public is faced with an offer of co-belligerence with Germany against Japan, well, lets just say that FDR is going to have his work cut out for him attempting to get a DoW. I don't see how anyone can seriously fail to see that, and so lets move forward from there.
If Uncle Sam starts wearing the hat of mediator to bring about an end to the UK/German war (which will benifit both), then the precedent will have been set for keeping that hat firmly perched upon his head till Germanys self imposed troubles in the west are successfully resolved.
If this happens, then we might just see a negotiated peace in the west, which would confirm Stalin's suspicions, that leaves Germany free to knock herself out against the USSR.
Naturally, I remain convinced that Germany is doomed in fighting the USSR while suffering a trade embargo and everything else. Not to sure it even has a chance without these.
Well, it's time for my next class.