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This is a morbid what-if, but what if Carter was shot and killed in October of 1980? John Hinckley, Jr., the would-be assassin of Ronald Reagan, had previously stalked Jimmy Carter and followed him to Nashville, TN and Dayton, OH.

What if he shoots and hits? How does this impact the 1980 election? My guess is that in the aftermath, Mondale would probably be quickly confirmed as the Democratic nominee and, even with the hostage crisis and the economic situation, would probably in this case win on a massive sympathy vote.
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