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A basic question: What would Hillary Clinton's career trajectory look like had the affair between President Clinton and Monica Lewinsky either never occurred or stayed out of the public eye? Would her otherwise unimpressive approval numbers (which had a roughly even favorable/unfavorable split prior the scandal and impeachment) and lack of political accomplishment prevent her from achieving her senate seat or the Democrats' presidential nomination, or was New York such a safe seat in 2000 that her victory there (and in 2008 or 2016 primaries) essentially inevitable even without a sympathy bounce in the polls?