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Had Hillary declined to be Secretary of State in 2009 and remained in the Senate. She seeks and wins reelection in 2012 and heads in 2016 as the Democratic front runner at OTL.

With Hillary in Washington rather than overseas (she was the most traveled Sec. of State IIRC), what are the major changes? Who does Obama appoint in her stead? If he appoints John Kerry, is it possible for Clinton to rise to Chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee? Would their be a major change in foreign policy with an earlier Kerry appointment or someone else all together?
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